[EM] another reason to avoid strategic motivations
Jonathan Lundell
jlundell at pobox.com
Mon Dec 1 17:17:48 PST 2008
...or at least to avoid methods that encourage strategic voting, is
that voters are so bad at it.
I blogged a rather dismaying study the other day on the subject of
people's tendency to irrationally misjudge probabilities when they
have a stake in the outcome. I wouldn't want to draw too close a
parallel between this and any particular election method. Rather, it's
something to keep in mind when we talk about voters trying to make
strategic calculations that they're not really competent, in general,
to make.
Notice also that there's a systematic bias; it's not just that the
subjects are wrong in a random way that might tend to cancel out.
http://pragmatos.net/2008/11/29/pessimistic-voters/
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