[EM] James--MMPO & wv strategy wrap-up
MIKE OSSIPOFF
nkklrp at hotmail.com
Mon Jun 13 20:48:45 PDT 2005
I'm going to indent this so that it will be clearer. But, because experience
has shown that e-mail can scramble indentations, I'm going to number and
letter the subject headings too:
This, like most of what I say about ranking strategy, is about the
acceptable/unacceptable situation.
It's understood that if AERLO is available, the AERLO line is placed
directly below the acceptable candidates.
A. For the acceptable candidates:
1.With MMPO:
a. Without AERLO:
Rank the acceptable candidates equally
b. With AERLO:
Rank the acceptable candidates sincerely
2. With wv:
a. Without AERLO:
If you're sufficiently sure of the order of the acceptables'
winnability,
their probabilities of being the candidate whom you can help
beat the
unacceptable candidates, then rank them in order of their
estimated
winnability, so as to maximally help the most winnable ones.
But if you aren't
reasonably sure about their winnability order, just rank
them equal.
b. With AERLO
Rank the acceptable candidate in order of estimated
winnability, as described
above. If you guess wrong, AERLO will automatically try
equal ranking.
B. For the unacceptable candidates:
Assuming that you aren't doing deterrent truncation, because there's no
offensive order-reversal threat:
Rank the unacceptables in reverse order of estimated winnability (the most
winnable ones lowest in the ranking).
Mike Ossipoff
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