[EM] Re: Quota-Limited Weighted Approval
Chris Benham
chrisbenham at bigpond.com
Fri May 28 00:47:02 PDT 2004
Participants,
On Thurs.Feb. 26 this year, I posted a strange idea for a
single-winner ranked-ballot voting method I called
"Quota-Limited Weighted Approval".
> Voters rank the candidates. Equal preferences and truncation ok.
> (1) Symetrically complete the ballots.
> (2) Based on these now symetrically completed ballots, give each
> candidate a weight of 1 for each ballot on which it is
> ranked in first place. (The total weight of the candidates will now
> be equal to the total number of original before-step-1
> ballots. Any candidate with a weight equal to or greater than half
> the total weight of all the candidates wins).
> (3) Each ballot fully approves the highest-ranked candidates whose
> combined weight is less than half the total weight of
> all the candidates. Each ballot also fractionally approves the next
> highest-ranked candidate, so that the combined weight
> of the candidates approved by each ballot is equal to half the
> total weight of all the candidates.
> (4) The candidate with the highest approval score wins.
Some explanation of what I meant by "Symetrically complete the
ballots." The idea is that ballots that don't strictly rank
all the candidates are "incomplete". To quote Woodall, "The symetric
completion of a ballot is obtained by replacing all
possible completions of it with equal weight, chosen so that the total
weight is 1. For example, if there are five candidates
ABCDE, then the symetric completion of a ballot marked A>B, consists of
six ballots, each with a weight 1/6, marked
A>B>C>D>E, A>B>C>E>D, A>B>D>C>E, A>B>D>E>C, A>B>E>C>D, A>B>E>D>C."
He doesn't consider methods which allow equal non-last ranking, so I add
this example. The "symetric completion" of a
ballot marked A=B>C>D>E, consists of two ballots, each with a weight of
1/2, marked A>B>C>D>E and B>A>C>D>E.
I went on to make some claims about QLWA's properties:
> This method meets (mutual) Majority, Independence of Clones,
> Participation, Reverse Symetry, Symetric Completion,
> Woodall's Plurality criterion, and Independence of Pareto-Dominated
> Alternatives. It is independent of any losers with
> no first preferences.
> It fails Condorcet, Later-no-harm, Later-no-help, and Steve Eppley's
> "resistance to truncation" criterion.
> It might be ok regarding his other two "defensive strategy" criteria:
> "minimal defense" and "non-drastic defense".
Some of these are wrong. It fails Participation, Reverse Symetry, the
Plurality Criterion, and "Minimal Defense".
BTW, "Symetric Completion" is s criterion of Woodall's which says "A
truncated ballot should be treated in the same way
as its symetric completion". Adapting that to methods that allow equal
non-last ranking, I mean "A ballot that doesn't strictly
rank all the candidates should be treated in the same way as its
symetric completion". Perhaps that should be distinguished
as "Generalised" SC.
The method has a tendency to elect the CW, and to resist the Burying
strategy. It has the property in 3-candidate elections
that if the first-preference winner gets all the second preferences of
the first-preference runner-up, then the first-prefernce
winner (FPW) is elected. Here are some examples from James G-A in which
QLWA resists Burying.
His most recent (44 of the Bush voters are Burying the sincere CW,
Kerry) :
44: Bush>Nader>Kerry
05:Bush>Kerry>Nader
38:Kerry>Nader>Bush
05:Kerry>Bush>Nader
08:Nader>Kerry>Bush
Weights: Bush 49, Kerry 43, Nader 8.
QLWA approvals (100 ballots, "Quota" = 50)
44:Bush>.125 Nader
05:Bush>.0232558 Kerry
38:Kerry>.875 Nader
05:Kerry>.1428571 Bush
08:Nader>.9767441 Kerry
QLWA final scores- Bush: 49.714285 Kerry:50.930231
Nader:46.75. Kerry wins.
40:A>C>B (sincere is A>B>C)
46:B>A>C
07:C>A>B
07:C>B>A
All the A voters are Burying B.
Weights: A40, B46, C14.
QLWA approvals (100 ballots, Quota = 50)
40:A>.7142857C
46:B>.1A
07:C>.9A
07:C>.7826096B
QLWA final scores- A:50.9 B:51.49826 C:42.571428. B wins.
28:A>B>C
27:B>C>A (sincere is B>A>C)
23:C>A>B
22:C>B>A
Weights: A28, B27, C45
QLWA approvals
28:A>.8148148B
27:B>.5111111C
23:C>.1785714A
22:C>.1851851B
QLWA final scores- A:32.107142 B:53.888886 C:58.8 The
Burying backfires, and C wins.
Take this mad example:
101:A
001:B>A>C
101:C>B>A
Ranked Pairs(winning votes) says B>A>C. I think anyone who is wearing
their Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA)
spectacles would agree that A should win. Certainly a big "this isn't
IRV" wake-up call for the A supporters.
"Symetrically completing" the ballots, this becomes:
50.5:A>B>C
50.5:A>C>B
1: B>A>C
101: C>B>A
Weights: A101, B1, C101.
QLWA approvals (203 ballots, Quota = 101.5)
50.5: A>.5B
50.5:A>.0049504C
1: B>.9950495A
101:C>.5B
QLWA final scores- A:101.9950495 B:76.75 C:101.2499952. A
wins.
Here is an example of QLWA failing Woodall's "Plurality" criterion,
which says that if that if there is a candidate x which has
more first-place votes than candidate y has non-last- place votes, then
candidate y cannot win.
79:A>B>C
41:B
80:C
Here C has a "plurality" over A, so to meet the criterion, A is not
allowed to win. QLWA elects A.
Here is the example which has caused me to dump QLWA as my pet
single-winner method. It is one of Woodall's example
elections.
11:A>B>C>D>E
10:B>C>A>D>E
10:C>A>B>D>E
10:E>A>B>D>C
10:E>B>C>D>A
10:E>C>A>B>D
02:D>E>A>B>C
63 ballots. All candidates in the Smith set. RP and BP pick A. Borda
picks B.
Weights- A:11 B:10 C:10 D:2 E:30
QLWA approvals (Q = 31.5)
31:ABC>.25D
10:E>.1363636A
10:E>.15B
10:E>.15C
02:D>.983333E
Final scores- A:32.363636 B:32.5 C:32.5 D:9.75 E:31.966666
QLWA gives this as a tie between B and C.
C should definitely have a lower probabilty of winning than A or E. A
has a higher Borda-score, and simply more support,
than C. E has some claim, based on viewing D as a near-irrelevant
alternative. I think this shows that QLWA fails Mono-Raise
and Mono-add-Top.
In terms of the monotonicity criteria listed by Woodall, I now have
QLWA failing all of them except Mono-add-Plump and
Mono-append. It fails Mono-raise-random, Mono-sub-top,
Mono-raise-delete, Mono-sub-plump, Mono-add-Top,
Mono-raise, Mono-remove-bottom, Participation, Later-no-harm,
Later-no-help; and his Plurality Criterion.
Against this list, IRV fares much better. QLWA meets Steve Eppley's
"Non-Drastic Defense" Criterion (at least one of the
versions), but not is other "defensive" criteria. It meets another one
he mentions, Independence of Pareto-Dominated Alternatives
(IPDA).
Chris Benham
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/election-methods-list/files/wood1996.pdf
http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2003-December/011480.html
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