[EM] Modeling turkey raising in strategic nomination simulations
Kristofer Munsterhjelm
km_elmet at t-online.de
Sun May 12 04:29:40 PDT 2024
On the subject of strategic nomination, I think that adding turkey
raising as a category to JGA's two self-interested categories could be
useful. We could also make the tests more general by considering sets of
candidates instead of just individual candidates. So the categories
would be:
- If one or more candidates of the initial set drop out, and the winner
changes in a way that the candidates who dropped out all prefer to the
original winner, then the method has a strategic exit incentive in that
election.
- If one or more candidates of the reserve set enter the election, and
the winner changes to someone they all prefer, then the method has a
strategic entry incentive in that election.
- Consider a candidate A in the initial candidate set, as well as a
subset T of the set of reserve candidates (who can join but haven't
yet). If, when these candidates T are introduced, the winner changes in
a way that A prefers, then the method has a turkey raising incentive by
A in that election.
- The method has a turkey raising incentive in an election if there
exists such an initial candidate A and turkey set T.
This would be a kind of candidate analog of nonmonotonicity, because the
presence of A in the initial candidate set should (if the method is
"monotone") push the outcome towards A precisely to the extent that
voters support A. Thus the introduction of someone who A doesn't like
shouldn't draw the outcome *closer* to A.
-km
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