[EM] Why All the Fuss?

Forest Simmons forest.simmons21 at gmail.com
Sun Feb 26 08:37:14 PST 2023


The ElectoScope aka Yee Diagram makes clear both the problem with and the
solution to the Center Squeeze phenomenon ... elimination methods that
judge "worst" by size of the Voronoi regions ten to suffer from the defect.

But the cure is easy and sure ... no eliminations of undefeated candidates.

All Condorcet Efficient methods have the same Yee Diagram ... the win
region for a candidate is its entire Voronoi polygon, no matter how small.

Next ... burial ...






On Fri, Feb 24, 2023, 3:49 PM Forest Simmons <forest.simmons21 at gmail.com>
wrote:

>
> Why can't we just have majority rule? Why all the fiss?
>
> Many a student of my "Math for Liberal Arts" class asked me that question
> during the decades I taught the Community College course by that name.
>
>  That's the reason Joe Malkovich's contribution to the textbook was so
> important ... his examples of ballot profiles for which no two of several
> different majority rule methods agreed on who should be elected.
>
> Most if not all of these methods start out with the phrase..."Elect the
> majority winner if there is one, otherwise cull out the weakest (meaning
> democratically weakest) candidates one by one until there is a majority
> winner among the remaining."
>
> But there is no agreement on what constitutes "democratically weak' ...
> and it makes a big difference!
>
> So what can we do?
>
> One thing we have tried without much success is to suggest that the next
> best thing, lacking a first preference majority winner ... is to elect the
> candidate unbeaten by any majority comparison with another candidate.
>
> But just as there is no guaranteed outright majority winner ... neither is
> there any guarantee of the existence of a pairwise unbeaten candidate.
>
> It turns out that the best we can guarantee along these lines is the
> existence of at least one candidate that can pairwise beat in two steps
> every candidate that he cannot defeat in one step (by a majority of the
> participating voters).
>
> Such a candidate is said to be "uncovered."  We're going to need a better
> word than that if we want to get anybody on board with this minimum
> guaranteeable standard of "majority rule."
>
> Let's say a candidate is "democratically strong" if it has a beatpath to
> every other candidate ... and is "very strong majority pairwise" if it has
> a beatpath of one or two steps to each of the other candidates ... each
> step being a pairwise victory by a majority of the participating voters ...
> meaning voters expressing a preference.
>
> Then the "Strong Majority Pairwise Criterion" (SMPC) is satisfied only by
> methods that always elect uncovered candidates.
>
> Contrast that with the weaker, relatively impotent Condorcet Criterion
> which is satisfied by any method that elects an unbeaten candidate "when
> such a candidate exists" ... the copout escape clause in quotes letting the
> method off the hook whenever things start to get interesting.
>
> Another way to express compliance with this SMPC criterion is "Landau
> Efficient."
>
> Every method under the "Worst-Elimination" umbrella is seamlessly Landau
> Efficient ... it effortlessly (and without fanfare) satisfies the SMPC ...
> no matter what nominal standard of worst is instantiated into the umbrella
> template.
>
> Who can name even one commonly known election method that is Landau
> efficient?
>
> What's more ... no matter the nominal "worst" criterion, the method will
> be more or less burial resistant ... as I will explain presently.
>
> I suggest that proposals for any method under this umbrella, include
> verbiage to the effect ...
>
> "When there is no majority winner or any candidate that a majority of the
> participating voters rank ahead of each of the other candidates ... cull
> out one-by-one the nominally "worst" candidates as well as any
> democratically weaker candidates (as determined by majority ballot
> preferences) until there is a majority winner among the remaining
> candidates."
>
> This umbrella is so robust that the choice of nominal "worst" is not
> overly critical.  The main thing is to keep it simple enough that (1)
> voters can easily understand and relate to it, and (2) it can be
> efficiently and transparently tallied by precinct without multiple passes
> through the ballots.
>
> Complicated "worst" criteria are the ones that tend to introduce crowding
> and teaming distortions ... smallest Borda score is a example of this kind
> of "worst" criterion ... pun intended.
>
> Anti-vote splitting can be easily ensured (in general) by allowing
> equal-top whole counting, and multiple truncations in large elections.
>
> In the continuation I will explain why this method tends to backfire on
> buriers.
>
> At some point those who have power to advocate for one method over another
> need to understand them beyond the surface heuristics that appeal to the
> impatient public.
>
> Among other things enlightened defenders of electoral democracy need to
> understand the "squeeze effect" and "burial ploys" ...
>
> To be continued ...
>
> -Forest
>
>
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