[EM] The IRV-Disease has reached my town.
robert bristow-johnson
rbj at audioimagination.com
Tue Mar 5 00:39:04 PST 2019
i am not on the other two lists, so i can't post to them.
---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: Re: [EM] The IRV-Disease has reached my town.
From: "Chris Benham" <cbenhamau at yahoo.com.au>
Date: Mon, March 4, 2019 9:45 pm
To: election-methods at lists.electorama.com
Cc: ApprovalVoting at yahoogroups.com
RangeVoting at yahoogroups.com
"robert bristow-johnson" <rbj at audioimagination.com>
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
> I am strongly of the view that voters should be allowed to bullet-vote
> or rank every single candidate or anything in between.
Fine.
>> i think that it is reasonable for the law to assign a fixed number of
>> ranking levels, but it should be more than 3.
>
> What is "reasonable" about it?
finite amount of real-estate on the paper ballot.
>
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contingent_vote
>> The contingent vote differs from the alternative vote
>> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting>which allows for
>> many rounds of counting, eliminating only one weakest candidate each
>> round.
>
>> in a ranked ballot, what defines an "approved" candidate? all
>> unranked candidates are tied for last place on a ballot. is any
>> candidate that is ranked at all "approved"?
> Yes.
>
>> that would change and complicate the meaning of the ranked ballot.
>
> Arguably "change" somewhat but I don't see how (overly) "complicate".
> Allowing voters to rank among unapproved
> candidates makes the method more vulnerable to strategy and a lot more
> complicated.
it adds rules. without this addition rank/approval thing, the rules of tabulation are simpler.
>> i still see no advantage of any method that is not Condorcet compliant
>> over one that is.
>
> All Condorcet methods are vulnerable to Burial strategy and fail the
> Favorite Betrayal Criterion.
yeah, but if a CW exists and, for whatever reason, you do not elect the CW (as what happened to us in Burlington in 2009), you are electing a candidate when **more** of us marked our ballots that we preferred someone else. that's hardly
democratic.
> As has been pointed out to you on this list before, Margins is
> especially vulnerable to Burial.
yes it has been pointed out to me. with anecdotes. with "suppose this..."
> Suppose sincere is:
>
> 46 A
> 44 B
> 10 C
>
>
> I hope we are clear that if everyone bullet-votes like this then A is
> the Condorcet (and every other
> type of) winner.
>
> Supposing this scenario is accurately reflected in the pre-election
> polls, and so the B voters (perhaps
> following advice from their party) decide "It looks like we are going to
> lose to A, maybe something good
> will happen if we rank C" and so the votes cast are:
>
> 46 A
> 44 B>C
> 10 C
>
> A>B 46-44 (margin=2) B>C 44-10 (margin=34) C>A 54-46 (margin=8)
>
> Now Margins elects B, rewarding the outrageous Burial strategy.
yup it's the impossible Arrow.
how would we differentiate that scenario with 44 B>C that was strategic from the same exact set of ballots cast that are sincere? if it's sincere, then B should
win.
but it's a good example of how, if the election was close and you could convince enough B voters to vote tactically, that it rewards Burial. but it's still a contrived example.
maybe Winning Votes is better than Margins. i dunno.
> I can't tolerate any method
that elects B in this scenario. Even
> assuming that all the votes are sincere,
> B is clearly the weakest candidate (the least "approved" and
> positionally dominated and pairwise-beaten by A.)
but only very closely beaten by A where it appears that otherwise voters more strongly prefer B over C and C over A. if the vote is sincere, it looks to me that A is *barely* a plurality winner.
>
> IRV and the IRV-Condorcet method I like elects A.
is that IRV-Condorcet the same as STV-BTR?
> The Condorcet//Approval or Smith//Approval methods I like elect C. The
> B voters "approved" C and they got C.
looks weak to me (a lot more voters prefer B to C). i think you would have some pitchforks in the street if you gave that election to C.
> If you think it is "reasonable" to restrict the number of
"ranking
> levels" and you want to allow voters to equal-rank
> and presumably also skip ranking levels, then in my book you are talking
> about ratings rather than rankings
No. If it's scoring (or "rating"), the voter must tactically decide how much they will score their second choice. It doesn't make a difference in ranking. And every voter's voting power should be equal.
> and you have something that stuffs up IRV or anything similar.
dunno what that means, either.
> But it is fine for Condorcet//Approval or Smith//Approval or Smith//Top
> Ratings and several other voting methods I like.
I just want it so that when A is compared to B, that everyone who weighs in on that choice have an equal say (that's One-Person-One-Vote).
And, excepting a cycle (which is an "impossible" mess), I just want it that if
more voters mark their ballots preferring A to B than the number of voters marking their ballots to the contrary, then B is not elected.
Them's are my dogma. And eliminating obvious tactical burdens from voters follows close behind to this dogma. Simplicity in voting and tabulation
comes next.
--
r b-j rbj at audioimagination.com
"Imagination is more important than knowledge."
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