[EM] Best Single-Winner Method: RR vs. MJ
stevebosworth at hotmail.com
Sat Jun 22 13:55:46 PDT 2019
I’ll respond inline below.
From: Ted Stern <dodecatheon at gmail.com>
To: steve bosworth <stevebosworth at hotmail.com>
Cc: "election-methods at lists.electorama.com"
<election-methods at lists.electorama.com>
Subject: Re: [EM] (3) Best Single-Winner Method
T: You seem to have not processed the response from Chris Benham which was
posted earlier, with the example I proposed 18 months ago:
S: I hope you will see below that I have “processed” this example in a way that shows that these voters could be treated more fairly by MJ, i.e. if each voter had defined their preferences by using something like the clearest, richest and most meaningful language for expressing the observed different levels of desired human behavior, e.g. by using the following six grades suggested by Balinski & Laraki regarding the suitability of each candidate for office: Excellent (ideal), Very Good, Good, Acceptable, Poor, and Reject (entirely unsuitable). At least this is the plausible claim made by B & L in Majority Judgment (pp.171, 169, 283, 306, 310, & 389). They were assisted in this regard by G.A. Miller, 1956, ”The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information”, Psychological Review 63: 89-97).
On this basis, I propose to compare and contrast the use of Stern’s RR with MJ when applied to the above example election. The above summary records how RR finds A to be the winner: A>B (49>48).
One of the proofs that grades provide a richer and more meaningful language than preferences used alone is to note that preferences can be inferred from a list of grades but grades cannot be inferred from a list of rankings. Consequently, the preferences listed in the above example might have resulted from any combination of the following possible grades that the same voters might have given to the above candidates if they had been asked. The range of possibilities are listed below. For example, each of the 46 voters who expressed their preference for A over all the other candidates might grade A as either e (Excellent), vg (Very Good), g (Good), or a (Acceptable):
46: A……….i.e. A is graded as either e, vg, g or a; and B, C, D and E are graded as r.
03: A>B……i.e. A is graded as either e, vg, or g; and B is graded as vg, g, or a; and C, D and E are graded as r.
25: C>B……i.e. C is graded as either e, vg, or g; and B is graded as vg, g, or a; and A, D and E are graded as r.
23: D>B……i.e. D is graded as either e, vg, or g; and B is graded as vg, g, or a; and A, C and E are graded as r.
03: E…………i.e. E is graded as either e, vg, g or a; and A, B, C, and D are graded as r.
Within these options, the following lowest possible grades for A, and highest possible grades for B would produce the following conversion of the above Condorcet example into one possible MJ election:
Candidates: A B C D E
3e 3vg 25e 23e 3e
46a 25vg 0 0 0
0 23vg 0 0 0
TOTAL+ …. 49 51 25 23 3
Grade: ……. r … vg … r ….. r … r
TOTAL- … 51 49 75 77 97
0 03r 03r 03r 23r
03r 0 23r 25r 25r
23r 0 03r 03r 03r
25r 46r 46r 46r 46r
In spite of the fact that A is the Condorcet minority winner (also for IBIFA & RR), B is the MJ majority winner with 51 grades of Very Good. MJ finds A to be the second best and minority candidate with 3 Excellents and 46 Acceptables (i.e. a minority of all the votes cast). Am I mistaken in assuming that even Condorcet minded citizens would feel that B should be the winner in such a case?
Does not this example illustrate why, as a method, MJ is superior to any Condorcet method?
1. MJ allows every discerning person (and every other citizen) most meaningfully and simply to express their judgment about the suitability for office of as many candidates as they might want;
2. Using MJ’s six grades removes the ambiguity that needlessly remains when using preferences alone;
3. MJ guarantees that an absolute majority of all the votes will elect the winner whom they see as having the highest available quality, i.e. at least the quality expressed by having received the highest median-grade.
4. MJ’s grading of a large number of candidates is much easier than ranking them.
5. MJ’s method for finding the winner by determining median-grades is much easier for each ordinary citizen to understand than is any of the Condorcet methods.
What do you think? In your view, what mistakes am I making?
I look forward to the next stage of our dialogue.
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