[EM] How unfair is distribution-caused bias?
MIKE OSSIPOFF
nkklrp at hotmail.com
Wed Jan 17 05:21:54 PST 2007
I prefer that an apportionment result have little or no correlation between
q and s/q. And CW & AR achieve that. (Well, AR might need a little
improvement, but it's potentially the best method).
BF is unbiased if the state-size frequency distribution is uniform. With the
existing distribuiton, when BF is used, the greater frequency of smaller
states will mean that if you're in a small state, it's more lilkely than not
to be in the lower part of a cycle. So BF will show a very little large-bias
for that reason.
Now, I don't say it's the state's fault that they're small states--even if
they actively discourage people from moving there :-) And it's not their
fault if the small states are more numerous than a uniform distrlibution
would have it. But that isn't the method's fault either. So I suggest that
maybe it's worthwhile to distinguish between method-cause bias and
distribution-caused bias. Maybe the latter isn't as unfair. Maybe BF isn't
doing anything wrong when s/q is affected by the distribution.
Mike Ossipoff
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