[EM] Sequential Pairwise is auto-deterrent

[Michael Ossipoff]

I meant:

Of course Buried—or Bus if you’ve replaced Buried with hir—might win,
whether or not they encounter BF in a comparison bout.

You like Bus less than Buried. That’s why ranking hir over Buried was
Burial.

On Tue, Oct 24, 2023 at 23:06 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742 at gmail.com>
wrote:

> Of course Buried—Or Bus if you’ve replaced BF with hir—might win  🏆
> whether or not they encounter BF in a comparison bout.
>
> …greatly increasing the amount by which your burial has lowered your
> expectation.
>
> On Tue, Oct 24, 2023 at 22:52 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742 at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> Just mentioning something that won’t be surprising, but I mention it
>> because it doesn’t stand out to you unless you’re looking for
>> auto-deterrent methods.
>>
>> Say Sequential-Pairwise (SP) is voted as rankings instead of the usual
>> show-of-hands. After the voting, th rankings are used to count SP.
>>
>> The comparison-order agenda is determined by Topcount or Approval.
>>
>> (For Approval, your ranking is counted as approving every candidate you
>> rank, so truncate accordingly.)
>>
>> Of course candidates with higher Topcount or Approval scores are higher
>> on the list, earlier in the comparison order.
>>
>> Say you bury a candidate (“Buried”), perceiving hir a rival to your
>> favorite (“BF”).
>>
>> Maybe you bury hir under lots of other candidates (“Buses”).
>>
>> If BUried encounters a Bus, then your order-reverse Al makes that Bus
>> more likely to beat & eliminate Buried. The more Buses, the more her win
>> probably is reduced.
>>
>> But if a Bus pairbeats Buried, then you’ve only replaced Buried with Bus.
>>
>> Now instead of Buried maybe being eliminated with Buried surviving &
>> maybe winning, now Buried is replaced with Bus,  & so BF might instead be
>> eliminated with Bus surviving & winning.
>>
>> You’ve worsened your expectation.
>>
>> Your burial wasn’t a good idea.
>>
>> Don’t do it.
>>
>>
>>
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