[EM] Sequential Pairwise is auto-deterrent

[Michael Ossipoff]

Of course Buried—Or Bus if you’ve replaced BF with hir—might win  🏆
whether or not they encounter BF in a comparison bout.

…greatly increasing the amount by which your burial has lowered your
expectation.

On Tue, Oct 24, 2023 at 22:52 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742 at gmail.com>
wrote:

> Just mentioning something that won’t be surprising, but I mention it
> because it doesn’t stand out to you unless you’re looking for
> auto-deterrent methods.
>
> Say Sequential-Pairwise (SP) is voted as rankings instead of the usual
> show-of-hands. After the voting, th rankings are used to count SP.
>
> The comparison-order agenda is determined by Topcount or Approval.
>
> (For Approval, your ranking is counted as approving every candidate you
> rank, so truncate accordingly.)
>
> Of course candidates with higher Topcount or Approval scores are higher on
> the list, earlier in the comparison order.
>
> Say you bury a candidate (“Buried”), perceiving hir a rival to your
> favorite (“BF”).
>
> Maybe you bury hir under lots of other candidates (“Buses”).
>
> If BUried encounters a Bus, then your order-reverse Al makes that Bus more
> likely to beat & eliminate Buried. The more Buses, the more her win
> probably is reduced.
>
> But if a Bus pairbeats Buried, then you’ve only replaced Buried with Bus.
>
> Now instead of Buried maybe being eliminated with Buried surviving & maybe
> winning, now Buried is replaced with Bus,  & so BF might instead be
> eliminated with Bus surviving & winning.
>
> You’ve worsened your expectation.
>
> Your burial wasn’t a good idea.
>
> Don’t do it.
>
>
>
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