[EM] Method X
Kristofer Munsterhjelm
km_elmet at t-online.de
Wed Aug 2 14:13:57 PDT 2023
On 8/2/23 16:24, Forest Simmons wrote:
>
>
> On Tue, Aug 1, 2023, 4:21 PM Kristofer Munsterhjelm
> <km_elmet at t-online.de <mailto:km_elmet at t-online.de>> wrote:
>> Now for the bad news:
>> - it's not summable (a summary takes O(n2^n) space),
>> - it's not polytime (ditto),
>> - its use of quotas means it would probably fail IIB,
>> - and I have no idea why it works.
>
>> I can't say I wasn't tempted to name it after myself since it's kind of
>> a big deal (if I can verify its monotonicity), but given its drawbacks,
>> maybe it's not a good idea? It's like the Kemeny of monotone
>> burial-resistant methods: slow and impractical, but it shows what's
>> *possible*.
>
>
> The reason Kemeny is computationally intractable is the sheer number of
> finish orders that have to be checked to make sure you got the one that
> minimizes the sum of the Kendall-tau distances (or swap cost metrics for
> my Cline independent version) to the ballot rankings. Computing the swap
> cost metric sum for any given finish order is cheap(in both time and
> space).
>
> So the simplest way to get the strategy resistant benefit of the method
> is to allow voters, candidates, and other stake holders to each submit
> several thousand finish orders, and then generate several trillion more
> at random ... and then quickly compute the minimal cost solution
> restricted to these few trillions of proposals.
>
> It seems to me that the same idea would make Method X "approximately
> tractable." In other words, MonteCarlo plus unlimited (but not by bots)
> stake holder submissions.
Yes, you could deal with it that way in practice, possibly combined with
a restriction to the Smith set. Since there doesn't seem to be any
monotonicity drawback to just using Smith//X here, and most (current)
public elections would have a very small Smith set, in the vast majority
of cases exhaustive calculation would suffice.
Just like Kemeny :-)
There's a part of me that likes mathematical elegance, that would like
to find something that's to this method what Ranked Pairs is to Kemeny:
preserving its unique property (LIIA or monotone burial resistance)
while improving on it (by being polytime).
But I shouldn't let that devalue the significance of finding method X in
the first place! That does mean I have to find a better name for it, though.
-km
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