[EM] Voter strategising ability
Kristofer Munsterhjelm
km_elmet at t-online.de
Thu Jul 24 12:51:13 PDT 2014
On 07/24/2014 08:05 PM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:
>
> Jameson, i am assuming you meant this for the list.
>
> *wow*! i would have never expected a real-world election where it would
> have mattered (in the outcome) whether it was a Shulze or Ranked-Pairs
> Condorcet method. not that the Romania 2009 was *any* Condorcet, but
> was it STV and is the ballot data available? otherwise i would ask, how
> do we know how be the Smith set was?
>
The RangeVoting link ( http://rangevoting.org/Romania2009.html ) gives
more detail. Romania uses top-two runoff, so many polls were of the form
"if X and Y were left in the second round, which would you vote for?".
With enough polls and statistical confidence, you can populate a
Condorcet matrix from the poll results. In the Romanian case, doing so
produced a Condorcet matrix with a large cycle.
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