[EM] 3 or more choices - Condorcet
Chris Benham
cbenhamau at yahoo.com.au
Sun Nov 11 08:16:43 PST 2012
Robert,
Can I take it that your "49: A>B A>C" means that 49 voters voted
A>B=C (meaning exactly the same thing as A>C=B)? I'll proceed
on the assumption that your answer is yes.
So if
49: A>B A>C
48: B>C>A
03: C>A C>B
really means
49: A>B=C
48: B>C>A
03: C>A=B
you are aware here that there is no Condorcet winner and that Margins
elects B, right?
B>C 48-3 (=45), C>A 51-49 (=2), A>B 49-48 (=1).
With only 3 candidates the Condorcet method algorithms you refer to
are all the same as MinMax.
You wrote:
"again, i will repeat that probably, technically, Schulze is superior to
Ranked-Pairs. but it doesn't matter with a Smith Set of 3 candidates or
less. Condorcet cycles will be rare. cycles with more than 3 in the
Smith set will be rare of the rare."
I agree.
" it's best to get Condorcet of *some* method enacted into law."
I agree, if compliance with the Condorcet criterion is so important to you.
"the most realistic path to accomplishing that is *not* to advocate a method
that cannot be explained to citizen-legislators."
Yes, but it also helps to advocate a method that opponents can't easily ridicule
with bad examples.
I suggest Smith//Approval or Condorcet//Approval (interpreting ranking above
equal-bottom as approval).
In this example:
49: A
48: B>C
03: C
those methods elect C, while Margins elects B.
Chris Benham
Robert Bistrow-Johnson wrote (8 Nov 2012):
well, i'm not the guy with upper-case letters. i didn't comment on this
response to what i said, but looking it over right now, whether people
vote on a Ranked-Choice ballot as if it were FPP or not, any candidates
*not* ranked are tied for last place on that ballot. so
49: A
48: B
03: C
is really
49: A>B A>C
48: B>A B>C
03: C>A C>B
the difference with this:
49: A
48: B>C
03: C
is that C gets a helluva lot more support from B voters than the other
scenario.
49: A>B A>C
48: B>C>A
03: C>A C>B
it's the same old complaint that Rob Ritchie (FairVote) and others make
against Condorcet (justifying putting all their support behind IRV):
that (from their POV) Condorcet can elect wishy-washy candidates with
little primary support. i (and Condorcet) would say that in the second
case, C is the best candidate even if he/she got only 3 first-choice
votes. might be a nice centrist, no-drama candidate in a polarized
environment. in Burlington VT 2009, the 3rd-place finisher from the POV
or FPP or IRV was the Condorcet winner and nearly everyone i talked with
would have been much happier with this candidate than with whom actually
won the IRV or with whom would have won FPP (who suffered a decisive
defeat in a repeat run in March 2012). but the margins weren't so wide
as with this example, candidate C got a lot more than 3% primary support
votes.
again, i will repeat that probably, technically, Schulze is superior to
Ranked-Pairs. but it doesn't matter with a Smith Set of 3 candidates or
less. Condorcet cycles will be rare. cycles with more than 3 in the
Smith set will be rare of the rare. it's best to get Condorcet of
*some* method enacted into law. the most realistic path to
accomplishing that is *not* to advocate a method that cannot be
explained to citizen-legislators. and i still think that margins is
better than either winning votes (or the logical complement regarding
the most losing votes). margins encompasses *both* winning votes and
losing votes (the latter with a negative sign, of course).
--
r b-j rbj at audioimagination.com
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