[EM] Has this idea been considered?
Dave Ketchum
davek at clarityconnect.com
Thu Jul 7 13:46:47 PDT 2011
On Jul 7, 2011, at 3:54 PM, Russ Paielli wrote:
> Let me just elaborate on my concerns about complexity. Most of you
> probably know most of this already, but let me just try to summ it
> up and put things in perspective.
>
> Some of the participants on this list are advanced mathematicians,
> and they have been discussing these matters for years. As you all
> know, the topic of election methods and voting systems can get very
> complicated. As far as I know, there is still no consensus even on
> this list on what is the best system. If there is no consensus here,
> how can you expect to get a consensus among the general public?
Because we, hopefully, honor the different rules that make sense when
we are voting for the public, rather than what you properly complain
about.
> But let's suppose a consensus is reached here on the EM list. What
> happens next? You need to generate public awareness, which is a
> major task. As far as the general public is concerned, there is no
> problem with the voting system per se. Voters vote, and the votes
> are counted. The candidate with the most votes wins. What else do
> you need?
Need to start, before listening to your words, with how to let the
voters express their desires - something some of them realize need of
already.
>
>
> So let's say we somehow manage to get widespread public awareness of
> the deficiencies of the current plurality system. Then what?
> Eventually, and actual change has to go through Congress. Try to
> imagine Senator Blowhard grilling the experts on the proposed rules
> of their favorite system. It would certainly be good for one thing:
> fodder for Jon Stewart and Steven Colbert!
Congress is important for later - need to start with more lolcal
targets.
>
> Also, consider the fierce opposition that would develop from any
> group that thinks they would suffer. And who might that be? How
> about the two major parties! Do you think they would have the power
> to stop it? For starters, they would probably claim that any
> "complicated" vote transfer algorithm cannot be used because it is
> not in the Constitution.
Constitution? Anyway, need to have a plan to have some idea about who
might agree/oppose.
>
>
> I realize that IRV has garnered considerable support and success. I
> suppose that's a tribute to the "open-mindedness" of ultra-leftist
> enclaves such as SF and Berkeley. On the other hand, it just goes to
> show that a fundamentally flawed system can be sold in such enclaves.
Above you said selling would be undoable; here you say what should
never get bought has demonstrated possibility of selling such?
Dave Ketchum
>
> Sorry if I'm coming across as negative. I'm just trying to be
> realistic. I am a Republican, and I got interested again in the
> whole EM thing because of what I see happening in the Republican
> primary, with so many candidates to split the vote and so many
> potential voters seemingly oblivious to the problem. I wish there
> were a good, viable solution, but I just don't see it happening in
> the foreseeable future.
>
> --Russ P.
>
> On Thu, Jul 7, 2011 at 12:11 PM, Dave Ketchum <davek at clarityconnect.com
> > wrote:
> Russ and Andrew each offer important thoughts.
>
> Russ is right that overly complex methods will likely get rejected -
> and I agree they deserve such, though Approval is not near to a
> reasonable limit.
>
> And Andrew is right that voters can accept something beyond
> Approval. Reviewing the steps as voters might think of them:
> . Approval is simply being able to voye for more than one, as if
> equals - easy to vote and easy to implement, but makes you wish for
> more.
> . Condorcet adds ranking, so you can vote for unequals such as
> Good that you truly like and Soso as second choice for being better
> than Bad, that you would happily forget.
> . Reasonable part of the ranking is ranking two or more as
> equally ranked.
>
> So I looked for what Andrew was referring to as CIVS - seems like it
> deserves more bragging than I have heard. Voters can easily get
> invited and vote via Internet in the flexibility doable that way.
> Read more at http://www.cs.cornell.edu/andru/civs.html
>
> Seems like CIVS would be good to use as is in many places where
> voting via Internet makes sense - and shows using Condorcet -
> something adaptable to the way we normally do elections.
>
> Dave Ketchum
>
>
> On Jul 6, 2011, at 1:48 PM, Andrew Myers wrote:
> On 7/22/64 2:59 PM, Russ Paielli wrote:
> ...I eventually realized I was kidding myself to think that those
> schemes will ever see the light of day in major public elections.
> What is the limit of complexity that the general public will accept
> on a large scale? I don't know, but I have my doubts that anything
> beyond simple Approval will ever pass muster -- and even that will
> be a hard sell.
> My experience with CIVS suggests that ranking choices is perfectly
> comprehensible to ordinary people. There have been more than 3,000
> elections run using CIVS, and more than 60,000 votes cast. These are
> not technically savvy voters for the most part. To pick a few groups
> rather arbitrarily, CIVS is being used daily by plant fanciers,
> sports teams, book clubs, music lovers, prom organizers, beer
> drinkers, fraternities, church groups, PBeM gamers, and families
> naming pets and (!) children.
>
> If anything, to me ranking choices seems easier than Approval,
> because the voter doesn't have to think about where to draw the
> approve/disapprove cutoff, which I fear also encourages voters to
> think strategically.
>
> -- Andrew
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