[EM] PR-SODA? Try 2 (and 3)
Jameson Quinn
jameson.quinn at gmail.com
Thu Jul 21 09:45:53 PDT 2011
Looking back at the system I proposed, although it's quite simple to me, I
understand that it's probably too complex to explain to voters. So, here's
two compromise fixes, which make it simpler without sacrificing too much
quality.
1. Use "unique votes" (that is, divide ballot weights by the number of
uneliminated candidates they approve) instead of also keeping track of
"total votes". This will mean more eliminations before anyone gets to a
Droop quota, but in general it will not have too great an impact on results.
2. Instead of reweighting ballots to "use up" a Droop quota, simply randomly
draw and eliminate a Droop quota of ballots. The results are
probabilistically the same, and there's less math involved. If you want to
reduce the chance of random aberrations, you can rerun the election until
the same full slate has won twice (or indeed, N more times than any other
full slate).
So, here's the simpler procedure:
While there are more uneliminated candidates than empty seats:
Divide each ballot by the number of uneliminated candidates it approves
If there are any candidates with more than a Droop quota:
Elect the one with the highest score (previously "unique ballots")
Discard a Droop quota of randomly-chosen ballots which approve the elected
candidate, starting with the ones delegated to that candidate
Assign that candidates pre-declared approvals on any undiscarded delegated
ballots for that candidate
Otherwise:
Eliminate the candidate with the lowest score
Assign that candidates pre-declared approvals on any delegated ballots for
that candidate
Elect all remaining candidates to fill the seats.
....
Strategically, delegating is not the same as approving the same list.
Delegated ballots are at a disadvantage because they are discarded first;
but they are at an advantage because they are not divided when deciding whom
to eliminate. I'd say on the whole, there is no clear incentive whether to
delegate or not, so most voters will just make this decision "honestly"
based on whether they agree with their favorite candidate's predeclared
approvals.
2011/7/21 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn at gmail.com>
> The intent is to make a proportional version of SODA, which preserves
> SODA's principal advantages. These are, as I see them: (1) ballot
> simplicity, (2) relative counting simplicity, (3) good results, and (4)
> acceptability from the point of view of an existing plurality-winner
> politician.
>
> The resulting system will not reduce to SODA in the single-winner case,
> although it will come close. The tactical concerns in an "order of play"
> system are too different between mulit- and single-winner. For instance,
> single-winner has no free-rider strategy.
>
> So here's the base system. As with SODA, ballots are approval-style, with
> bullet votes counting as delegated to the candidate for further use. The
> Droop quota is used and reweighting is "quota-style".
>
> Unlike SODA, candidates pre-declare, not a delegation ranking, but an
> approval-style ballot for delegation. One can imagine that many candidates
> would simply approve all "nominated" members of their party.
>
> The election proceeds by first electing candidates with a Droop quota and
> re-assigning overvotes, from most "total votes" on down; then eliminating
> candidates and transferring, from least "unique votes" up, electing any
> candidates who attain a Droop quota during the transfers; and finally,
> electing all un-eliminated candidates when there are only enough to fill the
> remaining seats. The pseudocode is at the end of this message; and it's
> simpler than it looks at first glance. Basically, it defines "total votes"
> and "unique votes", and implements the procedure I just explained in one
> (compound) sentence.
>
> This system, I believe, satisfies my first three criteria for a good
> PR-SODA. To make it satisfy the fourth — acceptability from the point of
> view of an existing plurality-winner politician — I would simply redesign
> the ballots by district. All candidates from the district where the ballot
> is cast would be listed first, in large type; all candidates from the
> closest two other districts (by some simple metric - it doesn't matter)
> would be listed later, in smaller type; and all other candidates would be
> available only as write-ins.
>
> Why would this be acceptable to existing politicians? Well, if you assume
> "no changes to voting patterns", and a state gerrymandered "fairly" such
> that results are already two-party proportional, it would give the same
> results as districted FPTP. That is, if all voters vote for one of two
> "nominated" major-party candidates from their district, and all candidates
> approve the one "nominated" candidate per district from their party, then
> this system is just a proportional adjustment to FPTP.
>
> It would be important, in this system, that both main parties and third
> parties would allow "fusion" main-party candidates. If not, a fringe party
> could "spoil" the election of too many sympathetic major-party candidates,
> and thus counterproductively push the major party (although not the
> legislature) away from their position. This is a matter of intraparty rules,
> not election rules, but I think it could be worked out satisfactorily.
>
> JQ
>
> ps. Here's the pseudocode I promised:
>
> subroutine recalculate totals:
>
> for each candidate:
>
> total votes T(C) <- sum(ballots approving candidate * ballot weight)
> delegated votes D(C) <- sum(ballots delegating to candidate * ballot
> weight)
> unique votes U(C) <- sum(ballots approving candidate * ballot weight /
> number of uneliminated candidates approved on the ballot)
>
> subroutine elect C and reweight ballots:
>
> add C to elected candidates, remove C from uneliminated candidates, reduce
> remaining seats by 1
>
> for each ballot B which was delegated to C:
>
> ballot now approves of all candidates approved by C
> ballot weight W(B) <- W(B) * min(0, (D(C)-d)/D(C)) [that is, use up
> delegated votes first]
>
> for each ballot B approving but not delegating to C:
>
> ballot weight W(B) <- W(B) * min(0, (T(C) - max(0, d-D(C)))/T(C)) [that is,
> use up the remainder of the Droop quota which wasn't used up in delegated
> votes]
>
> subroutine eliminate C:
>
> remove C from set of uneliminated candidates
>
> for each ballot B which was delegated to C:
>
> ballot now approves of all candidates approved by C
>
>
>
> Main procedure:
>
> Droop Quota d <- V / (N+1) [this is really the non-integer whatstheirname
> quota, but whatever]
> All ballots start with weight W(B) <- 1
> uneliminated canidates <- all candidates
> recalculate totals
> while there are more uneliminated candidates than remaining seats:
>
> while there are any candidates with T(C) > D:
>
> elect candidate with highest T(C) and reweight ballots
>
> recalculate totals
>
> eliminate candidate with lowest U(C)
>
> elect all uneliminated candidates
>
>
>
>
>
>
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