[EM] Why is Bayesian Regret the "Gold Standard"
electorama.com at howard.swerdfeger.com
Thu Mar 15 06:04:02 PDT 2007
> What is the justification for Bayesian Regret, as used in IEVS and
> described at http://rangevoting.org/BayRegDum.html, being the
> "uniquely right" metric, the "gold standard", for comparing different
> election methods or varying election scenarios?
I think this is a good question and I don't exactly want this thread to
die. but I don't know the answer. I think whoever wrote that thinks it
is the gold standard, other people might Look to Arrow.
> Why is the societal utility for a candidate the sum of the voters'
> individual utilities for that candidate? How does that avoid the
> problems of being arbitrary or not well-defined, when making
> interpersonal comparisons or summations of von Neumann-Morgenstern
> utilities? What is Bayesian about the resulting value, which is just
> a difference in utility values?
I am personally new to this measure, and I haven't read the paper they
refer to (soon hopefully). but I wonder how they generated the personal
Utilities for Voter V and Candidate X. you can place them both in Issue
space, and measure there distances R. but then you need to relate
Personal Utility with distance.
U(V, X) = R(v, x)
or perhaps is better. as you might really Hate people who are really
U(V, X) = Exp ( R(v, x) )
and then you have the Social Utility SU, they do say that
* SU = Sum(U(V, X))
But I think something Like
* SU = Sum( Log (U(V, X)) )
Would be defendable, as we might want to integrate the extreme points of
view into our society. and try to make them happy.
Anyway I think a good discussion about voter regret and how you measure
it is very appropriate.
> Matthew Welland matt at kiatoa.com on Sun Mar 11 09:44:32 PDT 2007,
>> ... I know I should be using Bayesian Regret but a) don't really
>> understand it and ...
> Warren Smith wds at math.temple.edu on Fri Feb 9 13:06:01 PST 2007,
>> I happen to think Bayesian regret is a good metric, in fact the
>> uniquely right metric, not "the wrong thing".
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