[EM] manipulation free method?
davek at clarityconnect.com
Fri Jun 29 20:27:01 PDT 2007
As to exploring - seems interesting.
As to a potential method, I would expect to complain about complexity:
Plurality - I am unable to express my thoughts in enough detail.
Condorcet - a good balance.
This attempt - the other extreme - why do I see this as acceptable,
as a voter?
On Fri, 29 Jun 2007 18:26:14 -0700 (PDT) Forest W Simmons wrote:
> It's true that there can be some incentive to lie about whom you think
> is the most likely to win, but there is no point in lying about your
> preference order.
> Here's a version that reduces the incentive to lie about perceived
> Each person indicates both a guess as to the winner, and a number alpha
> between zero and ten indicating how confident they are in their guess.
> The larger alpha, the greater weight in the community estimate.
> Here's the kicker. On your ballot, the probability distribution is a
> weighted average between the guess you submitted and the community
> If your guess is bogus, then you wouldn't want it to have much weight
> on your own ballot, so you will choose a small value of alpha, and it
> won't influence the community distribution much either.
davek at clarityconnect.com people.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
Dave Ketchum 108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY 13827-1708 607-687-5026
Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
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