[Election-Methods] Study Data, Personal Utility with Range 2 election

Abd ul-Rahman Lomax abd at lomaxdesign.com
Fri Jul 27 21:10:11 PDT 2007


At 01:28 PM 7/27/2007, Elisabeth Varin wrote:
>Hi Abd, and M. Smith if I understood well,

The spreadsheet and this particular idea was entirely my own. mr. 
Smith had refrained from comment on it. He is not at all responsible 
for my errors.


>I checked your spreadsheet.
>
>You are missing the -1 cases for A.
>Thus the impact on the sincere ballot compared to the approval one 
>is overestimated.
>Try again considering -1 , 0 and 1 as the three rests after removing 
>your offset.
>You should find different results.
>
>The emperor is not naked, he is just not well dressed...

Thanks for checking. I fixed the problem, I think. The results, 
however, are still quite interesting. I now have an increasingly 
general purpose calculator for determining utility expecations. Right 
now it is set up for three-candidate elections, you can input the 
utilities and the voting pattern and see the utility. It's exact, it 
is not a simulator.

It's very interesting to see what the utilities do. There is still an 
error in the spreadsheet I hope to correct tomorrow. When the 
utilities are changed, the expected utility for not voting changes, 
whereas I just assume that it is 1, the utility I previously had for 
the middle candidate.

In particular, it is simple with this to compare the utility of Range 
2 (CR-3) with Approval (Range 1 or CR-2).
I don't think I've seen this comparison done elsewhere. It is not 
necessarily what one would expect, though, in hindsight, it should 
have been obvious. Still, it's nice to see the exact numbers.

I've been hinting at it, and I announced a result before. However, 
that was with the erroneous numbers. When the numbers are fixed, what happens?

The new spreadsheet is at 
http://beyondpolitics.org/Range2Utility.htm. (or .xls for the actual 
spreadsheet file.)

It's cleaner and better explained. And hopefully, correct this time.




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