[EM] RE: [Condorcet] Re: Voting as duty (was ties & truncation)
simmonfo at up.edu
Fri Sep 16 14:46:21 PDT 2005
Somebody thought that the candidates would frequently fail to be ratified by the electorate.
Well, if the statisticians take this into account properly, and submit for ratification only those candidates that have a 99 percent chance of being ratified, then, by definition, it will be ratified 99 percent of the time.
If the population size required for this 99 percent confidence is greater than the size of the electorate, then the entire electorate will have to vote.
If it is found that the sample has to be that large in order to get the 99 percent confidence interval, then the voters will know that their is a significant chance that their ballots will be pivotal, so it will be worth the trouble of ranking all of the viable candidates carefully.
So far none of the people who have criticized this method has come up with a way that would make the voters who are required to rank all of the candidates know for sure that it is going to be worth all of the trouble.
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