[EM] Paul: All preferences counted equally
Dave Ketchum
davek at clarityconnect.com
Tue Oct 25 05:49:19 PDT 2005
Tempting to charge all with vagueness.
In a 5-way race there are 10 pairs of candidates, for which standard
Condorcet scoring counts:
A>B
B>A (separate count)
A=B gets no count - general agreement among most EM members
Meaning 20 counters in the 5x5 array for 5 candidates.
Agreed that voters could consider 4th and 5th almost even but:
COULD consider 1st and 2nd almost even as acceptables.
COULD consider 5th much worse than 4th for 5th being seriously
objectable for some reason.
On Mon, 24 Oct 2005 08:02:34 +0200 Jobst Heitzig wrote:
> Dear Mike!
>
> What Paul meant by "10 counters" is the pairwise matrix, which in case
> of 5 candidates and complete ballots without equal ranks contains only
> 10 significant numbers (one for each of the pairwise races). His point
> seems to be that basing the method only on those numbers ignores
> valuable information.
>
> Yours, Jobst
>
>
>
> MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote:
>
>
>>Paul--
>>
>>You said:
>>
>>My "discomfort" (can't quite call it a criticism) with any method that
>>counts votes using the pairwise matrix is that my "A (1st) > B (5th)" vote
>>in a 4-way race is negated by some other voter's "B (fourth) > A (fifth)"
>>vote. Neither of us particularly want B, but by the time the other voter is
>>ranking fourth and fifth she's in the "who cares?" part of her ballot.
The voters could have ranked:
A>C>D>E>B
C>D>E>B>A
>>
>>I reply:
>>
>>Counting all voted pairwise preferences equally does a lot to get rid of
>>strategy problems. But James GA has proposed a method that weights
>>pairwise preference votes with ratings differences, and it works fine,
>>for an FBC-failing method. But it adds too much complication for an
>>initial proposal.
>>
>>Anyway, you can't have everything. If you want minimum strategy need,
>>and simplicity, then you've got to count all voted pairwise preferences
>>equally.
>>
>>You continued:
>>
>>In a 5-way race there are 120 unique sets of preferences (151 if equal
>>rankings are allowed) and any method thhat only uses 10 counters to
>>determine a winner is going to mess things up somehow.
Mess how? With ranking we only know A>B or A=B or A<B, but have no
measure of how much difference.
>>
>>I reply:
>>
>>What is a counter? Do you refer to the hiring of only 10 people to
>>handcount the ballots? Nowadays a computer program would probably be
>>used. But of course a computer shouldn't be used unless there are paper
>>ballots too, and unless the sourcecode is available to everyone, and
>>checkable by anyone. I don't know the details of how computer-counting
>>could be made really secure, but most feel that it can.
>>
>>Lacking secure computer counts, we could hire lots of people for the
>>pairwise counting. It needn't take longer than IRV. In fact it could be
>>quicker, with one team for each pairwise comparison. Quicker but more
>>expensive.
>>
>>But why would it mess things up if only 10 ballot-counters were hired? A
>>national presidential count with lots of candidates would take a while
>>then, of course.
>>
>>Mike Ossipoff
--
davek at clarityconnect.com people.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
Dave Ketchum 108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY 13827-1708 607-687-5026
Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
If you want peace, work for justice.
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