[EM] Re: lotteries
Forest Simmons
simmonfo at up.edu
Wed Jan 5 18:40:48 PST 2005
First I have a typo correction in my example (inspired by Bart) showing
that ordinal ballot methods satisfying neutrality and the Condorcet
Criterion are manipulable, even when non-deterministic.
I gave the last faction as z C>B>A, when I meant z C>A>B. The entire
corrected tableaux is
x A>C>B
y B>C>A
z C>A>B .
From: Forest Simmons <simmonfo at up.edu>
Subject: [EM] Re: lotteries
<snip>
> However, even though it is non-deterministic, and highly manipulation
> resistant, it is not totally manipulation free:
>
> (following Bart's critique on non-determinism...)
>
> Suppose that there are three factions with sincere preferences
>
> x A>C>B
> y B>C>A
> z C>B>A ,
Now for James' message
Date: Wed, 05 Jan 2005 21:17:42 -0500
From: "James Green-Armytage" <jarmyta at antioch-college.edu>
Subject: Re: [EM] There is always a Condorcet Winner! (among all
lotteries of candidates :
To: "Jobst Heitzig" <heitzig-j at web.de>,
election-methods-electorama.com at electorama.com
<James wrote>
Dear Jobst,
Yes, it does sound like an intriguing idea, although non-deterministic
methods have never been an area of expertise for me.
In its present state, the proposal is still a little bit too abstract for
me to grasp; as usual, it's easier for me to understand a tally method
once I am given an example of it in practice. So, could you please find
the Condorcet lottery for the following group of preferences, and show me
how you did it?
35: A>B>C>D
25: B>C>A>D
30: C>A>B>D
10: D>C>A>B
thanks!
James Green-Armytage
<Forest replies>
There are only three uncovered candidates here A, B, and C, and they form
a cycle, so they also form the set W, and the winning "lottery" is the
distribution p(A)=p(B)=p(C)=1/3 .
It's easy to get this once you realize that Lottery is just Spruced Up
Random Candidate.
Forest
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