[EM] Approval strategy in close three-way race?
Rob Lanphier
robla at robla.net
Sun Aug 14 11:41:59 PDT 2005
Hi folks,
As I alluded to before, I'm still a little shakey when it comes to the
optimal Approval strategy. So, first, let me paraphrase what I believe
is the right strategy, and then ask about a case that's been bugging me.
My understanding is that current strategy involves classic two-party
politics. The idea is that you pick your favorite front-runner, and
every candidate you like better than the front-runner.
However, what happens in a tight three-way race? This is often the case
that gets thrown in the face of IRV advocates as a weakness in IRV, so
it's only fair to ask what happens in Approval.
Let's take a look at the landscape of the U.S. Presidential race. There
was a time (June, 1992) where it was virtually a three-way tie.
According to Gallup, Ross Perot lead the race for president, favored by
34% of Americans, compared to 32% for Bush and 24% for Clinton. These
numbers shifted around significantly during that time, such that it was
really hard to tell which of the three was a "front-runner". Had the
election been held right then and there, picking out just two
front-runners would have been difficult.
So, what's the right strategy in Approval?
Rob
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