[EM] correction

James Green-Armytage jarmyta at antioch-college.edu
Tue Apr 26 05:13:17 PDT 2005


I wrote (in my last posting):
>	Here is a particular example...
>My ratings and utilities for the three candidates... A>B>C (100, 5, 0)
>Probability of each candidate winning if I vote A>B>C... A: 40%, B: 55% C:
>5%.
>Probability of each candidate winning if I vote A>C>B... A: 45%, B: 40% C:
>20%
>Total probabilistic utility given A>B>C vote = (100*.4) + (5*.55) + (0) =
>42.7
>Total probabilistic utility given A>C>B vote = (100*.45) + (5*.4) + (0) =
>47

Sorry that the second set of probabilities don't add up to 100%. It's not
really important, but anyway here's a revision.
My rankings and ratings: A>B>C (100, 5, 0)
Probabilities given A>B>C: A: 40%, B: 55%, C: 5%
Probabilities given A>C>B: A: 45%, B: 35%, C: 20% 
Probabilistic utility for A>B>C: (100*.4) + (5*.55) = 42.75
Probabilistic utility for A>C>B: (100*.45) + (5*.35) = 46.75

James




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