[EM] Query for Approval advocates
Eric Gorr
eric at ericgorr.net
Thu Aug 21 09:39:44 PDT 2003
At 11:49 PM -0700 8/20/03, Bart Ingles wrote:
>Why should it be considered important to find a majority when none
>exists? In my view, the very concept of 'majority' is meaningless when
>there are three or more candidates, and appears to be based on several
>logical fallacies including:
>
>(1) Round number fallacy: The 50% figure is viewed as magical because
>it has the appearance of being a "natural" threshold. Which it is--if
>there are only two candidates.
It is a natural threshold regardless of the number of candidates.
If > 50% of the population desire a certain option, that option
should be selected despite of the number of other options out there.
>(2) Circular reasoning: Majority proponents generally have a particular
>method in mind for arriving at a "majority". This method is favored
>because it produces a majority, but the majority is defined in terms of
>the method.
This seems to be false as well.
Take this example:
40:A
35:C>B
30:B
That I believe B should win, is independent of any particular method.
Why should B win?
Because it is obviously preferred by a majority of people over every
other option.
Now, the fact that I can point to a method that will select B is a
reason why I would prefer that method to a method that would select
something other then B.
>(3) Equivocation: The majority produced by a particular method is often
>touted as though it were equivalent to an outright majority of
>first-choice votes.
No, I would not say equivalent, but it is close enough that in the
case above, the difference between equivalence and something else is,
at best, elusive.
>But it would be easy to make a case that a
>candidate with a 49% plurality (or 45% or even 40%) really enjoys more
>public support in a 3-way race than someone with only 26% of
>first-choice votes and a similar number of 2nd-choice votes.
Ok, so you have an option where 49% of the population marks A first.
26% of the population marks B first.
However, we cannot stop there as we have not accounted for the other
25% of the voters.
If all 25% prefer B over A, why should B not win?
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