[EM]Probabilities

Elisabeth Varin/Stephane Rouillon stephane.rouillon at sympatico.ca
Mon Nov 25 09:39:36 PST 2002


Mike--

I almost fully agree with you about what can happen.
I just really do not agree with those events probabilities...

Polls for preferential ballots will rarely be reliable.
Voters do not vote in block.
Violation of majority rule with margins or relative margins
is incredibly improbable.
IRV will rarely elect dangerous extreme candidates.

Preventing unsincere truncation should not be the main issue
of an electoral method. Optimizing the wish of the electorate should.

Still, thanks a lot for all the time you give me.
And felicitations for your work on SFC.
It is harder to build than to destroy...

Have a nice day,
Steph.

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