Relative power

Thu Jun 28 06:32:38 PDT 2001

Mr. Moore wrote-

I'm not meaning to criticize the power indices you were 
discussing. The Natapoff "index" was flawed becasue it was 
based not on pivotal probabilities of voters in a given 
state but on the probability that there *is* a pivotal vote 
somewhere in the country for a given election. But having a 
pivotal vote turn up somewhere in Florida does little for my 
voting power here on the west coast. And that pivotal vote 
doesn't really belong to one voter anyway. If the vote went 
5000000 to 4999999, then each of 5000000 voters had a tiny 
fraction of a pivotal vote.
D- Obviously if Voter X  has looked in the ballot box before the end of 
voting (a major election felony) and noted that things are tied, then Voter X 
can have 100 percent of the power to determine what happens in the election.

Various criteria play games with replays of close elections where only Voter 
X is aware of what the other voters have done.

Note the recent machinations in the U.S. Senate when it was tied 50 D - 50 R 
(with the R Vice President tie-breaker) (now 50 D, 49 R, 1 *Independent*).

Who would be the last Senators to vote (if they knew the voting results of 
the other Senators) ???

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