Conditional YES votes

Bart Ingles bartman at netgate.net
Wed Mar 15 16:57:39 PST 2000



DEMOREP1 at aol.com wrote:
> 
> How many real elections will have circular ties ???

Using a "random society" model, about 8% of three-candidate elections,
24% of 5-candidate elections, and about 48% of 10-candidate elections
will lack a Condorcet winner (Merrill, 1988).

To the extent that candidates can be placed on an n-dimensional spatial
model, frequency of cycles should be much lower (~1-2% for 5-candidate
elections).

Merrill estimates that a realistic model is somewhere in between.



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