[EM] Majority YES Requirement

DEMOREP1 at aol.com DEMOREP1 at aol.com
Mon Mar 27 11:58:55 PST 2000


An example showing the need for a majority YES requirement-
Two major groups split into factions.
An early poll (even before the candidate filing deadline) shows----

[brackets] means truncated choices

9 ABC  [M=N]
9 ACB  [M=N]

9 BCA  [M=N]
8 BAC  [M=N]

8 CAB  [M=N]
8 CBA  [M=N]

25 MN  [A=B=C]
24 NM  [A=B=C]
--------
51 (ABC group) > 49 (MN group)

26 AB 25
26 AC 25
26 BC 25

25 MN 24

At the moment of the poll choice A is the great Condorcet winner.

Let the strategy/truncation games really begin if there is NOT a majority YES 
requirement for the winner (with other possible major choices and third 
groups and their choices ready to file).

All groups obviously might be more divided in real elections with different 
votes for each group and each choice within each group.

Any country that you know ??

In real politics land-- (a) about 10 U.S. States have top 2 runoff primary 
elections (with their well known anti-Condorcet defects) to try to get de 
facto majority nominees of the major parties on the general election ballots;
and (b) a very large number of local governments have nonpartisan primaries 
and general elections in which the top 2N candidates are nominated in such 
primaries and N candidate(s) are elected in the general election (to try to 
get majority winners).

What chance is there in real politics land that such States and local 
governments will drop their majority features in favor of simple Condorcet 
rankings (1, 2, etc.) with truncation strategy game playing (with its direct 
potential for back- to- the- past plurality winners) ???

Again-- there is --

Majority desired > compromise lesser evil > anti-minority
Minority desired > compromise lesser evil > anti-majority

Where is the "Middle" ?  Let us guess (or observe).



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