bcretney at my-dejanews.com
Tue Nov 10 12:51:21 PST 1998
On Sun, 08 Nov 1998 12:54:42 Daniel Davis wrote:
> Here are the results of my fall election for a University Student Senate Seat
> The district is one of the few single member ones, and comprises 5 on-campus
>residence halls (dormitories) of about 983 people. On average each senate seat
>represents 1050 students.
> Anti-Greek Party 46% 164 votes
> Independent (Myself) 29% 104 votes
> Greek Party 23% 83 votes
> Total votes
> I know that almost all supporters of the anti-greek party would choose myself
>second, without a doubt, since they hate the greek party. I know that the greek
>party would either not choose anybody second, or choose me second because they
>hate the anti-greek party, and an independent is much less dangerous than their
> These elections use straight "illiterate" x marks the spot plurality.
> Now the question at hand:::::::::::::::::::::::::::
> Which system would have benefitted me the most? The least (aside from the
>obvious)? Which system would have been the fairest in outcomes?
I wonder if your premise is really true. The core supporters of Greek or Anti-Greek
will certainly prefer you to the other side. But many voters may vote for one of these
two sides without viewing everything in the Greek vs. Anti-Greek dichotomy.
However, I am going to assume your premise for analysis. I have also conjectured an
even split in the second preference for the people who vote for you first.
164 A I G
52 I A G
52 I G A
83 G I A
A G I
A X 216 164
G 135 X 83
I 187 268 X
This means the pair-wise majorities, with margins are:
So, there is no contradiction, "I" wins. The second preferences of
the I 1st voters don't actually matter as the "A" vs. "G" votes don't
You also win under AV. However, the Anti-Greeks could claim that
they would have won if they had less support. If 22 people decided
to vote "G A I" instead of "A I G", then "A" would win under AV.
You would still be the CW, however.
I tend to view the CW as giving the best government. It certainly
seems likely that the Anti-Greek candidate will support Anti-Greek
measures that are far more extreme than would be desired by the
majority of the electorate of your district.
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