<div dir="auto">“Writing a few op-eds” isn’t much better. What’s the plan for building a grassroots movement?</div><div dir="auto"><br></div><div dir="auto">I’m not impressed by a slick website or a list of names. Appealing to credentials isn’t a theory of change, Ralph. </div><div><br><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Thu, Jun 19, 2025 at 5:37 PM Ralph Suter <<a href="mailto:RLSuter@aol.com">RLSuter@aol.com</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left-width:1px;border-left-style:solid;padding-left:1ex;border-left-color:rgb(204,204,204)"><u></u>

  
    
  
  <div>
    <p>That's a pretty ridiculous put-down given that they're just
      getting started. I can't imagine, judging from the descriptions of
      the people on their staff, board of directors, and advisory board,
      that they're so stupid as to think that "tell your friends" is
      anything but the beginning of a much more sophisticated and
      well-planned long-term strategy. One way they're likely to promote
      their efforts is with op-ed articles in New York Times, Washington
      Post, and other major publications, as Rob Richie of FairVote and
      other IRV advocates have often done. My guess is that we'll begin
      seeing such articles very soon, maybe in the next week or two.</p></div><div>
    <p>-Ralph<br>
    </p>
    <div>On 6/19/2025 4:17 PM, Michael Garman
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite">
      
      <div dir="auto">It would be neat if they set out an actual theory
        of change instead of just “tell your friends about our cool
        idea.”</div>
      <div><br>
        <div class="gmail_quote">
          <div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Thu, Jun 19, 2025 at
            5:13 PM Ralph Suter via Election-Methods <<a href="mailto:election-methods@lists.electorama.com" target="_blank">election-methods@lists.electorama.com</a>>
            wrote:<br>
          </div>
          <blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left-width:1px;border-left-style:solid;padding-left:1ex;border-left-color:rgb(204,204,204)">
            <div>
              <p>You've oversimplified what they advocate. Their website
                says:</p>
              <h4 role="heading" aria-level="3" id="m_-9012262444751503111m_-4643026393817267918yui_3_17_2_1_1750365927689_325"> </h4>
              <div role="region" id="m_-9012262444751503111m_-4643026393817267918dropdown-block-6bc80389f3e571e0ef76-5" aria-labelledby="button-block-6bc80389f3e571e0ef76-5">
                <div style="padding:0px 0px 15px;min-width:85%;max-width:300px">"In almost
                  all large-scale elections, the process of comparing
                  pairs of candidates will identify the Consensus
                  Choice, a single candidate who wins all their
                  head-to-head matchups. In the unlikely event that no
                  Consensus Choice exists, the ultimate winner can be
                  determined by one of the following resolution methods:<br>
                  <br>
                      "Margin of Loss Resolution: If there is no
                  Consensus Choice, the candidate whose largest
                  head-to-head loss is smallest is declared the winner.<br>
                  <br>
                      "Number of Wins & Margin of Loss Resolution:
                  The candidate with the most head-to-head wins is
                  declared the winner. In the event that multiple
                  candidates tie for most head-to-head wins, the tie is
                  broken in favor of the one whose largest head-to-head
                  loss is smallest.<br>
                  <br>
                      "Instant Runoff Resolution: If there is no
                  Consensus Choice, Instant Runoff Voting is used to
                  determine the winner."<br>
                  <p>My biggest question is why they included instant
                    runoff as one of the resolution methods, especially
                    because on their FAQ page, they explain why it isn't
                    a good method:<br>
                  </p>
                  <p>"Instant Runoff Voting<br>
                    <br>
                    "Under Instant Runoff Voting (IRV), voters rank
                    candidates in order of preference. Initially, only
                    first-choice votes are counted. If no candidate has
                    a majority (>50%), the candidate with the fewest
                    first-choice votes is eliminated, and votes for that
                    candidate are transferred to the voters’ next-ranked
                    candidates. This process repeats until one candidate
                    receives a majority of the remaining votes.<br>
                    <br>
                    "Under Consensus Choice, voters rank candidates
                    similarly, but instead of using sequential
                    elimination rounds, we use rankings to directly
                    compare each candidate against every other candidate
                    in head-to-head matchups. The candidate who wins
                    against every other candidate individually is
                    declared the winner.<br>
                    <br>
                    "Consensus Choice selects the candidate with the
                    broadest support across the entire electorate.<br>
                    <br>
                    "As a result, Consensus Choice discourages divisive
                    campaigning because winners must appeal broadly, not
                    just to a faction or a particular base of
                    supporters.<br>
                    <br>
                    "Example:<br>
                    <br>
                        "IRV: Candidate A initially leads but doesn't
                    have a majority. Candidate C is eliminated, and
                    votes transfer primarily to Candidate B, making B
                    the winner—even if Candidate D (already eliminated)
                    could have beaten B head-to-head.<br>
                    <br>
                        "Consensus Choice: Candidate B might have the
                    most pairwise wins against all others directly,
                    immediately making B the winner without needing
                    multiple rounds of eliminations.<br>
                    <br>
                    "Why it matters: <br>
                    <br>
                    "Because it eliminates candidates one at a time,
                    Instant Runoff may eliminate a candidate early who
                    would have broader appeal overall.<br>
                    <br>
                    "Consensus Choice encourages candidates to build
                    broader support among voters to reduce toxic
                    polarization. Under Instant Runoff Voting, the
                    winning candidate only needs to beat the last
                    remaining competitor head-to-head, which doesn't
                    necessarily mean that the IRV winner has majority
                    support when compared to other candidates.<br>
                    <br>
                    "In short, IRV focuses on sequential elimination
                    rounds, while Consensus Choice evaluates
                    comprehensive head-to-head comparisons to select the
                    candidate most broadly supported by the electorate."</p>
                  <p>-Ralph Suter<br>
                  </p>
                </div>
              </div>
              <div>On 6/19/2025 3:02 PM, <a href="mailto:election-methods-request@lists.electorama.com" target="_blank">election-methods-request@lists.electorama.com</a>
                wrote:<br>
              </div>
              <blockquote type="cite">
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Today's Topics:

   1. Better Choices for Democracy (Markus Schulze)


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Message: 1
Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2025 18:17:35 +0200
From: Markus Schulze <a href="mailto:markus.schulze8@gmail.com" style="font-family:monospace" target="_blank"><markus.schulze8@gmail.com></a>
To: <a href="mailto:election-methods@lists.electorama.com" style="font-family:monospace" target="_blank">election-methods@lists.electorama.com</a>
Subject: [EM] Better Choices for Democracy
Message-ID: <a href="mailto:465e498b-a7f2-40e8-9083-3cd518c7729d@gmail.com" style="font-family:monospace" target="_blank"><465e498b-a7f2-40e8-9083-3cd518c7729d@gmail.com></a>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed

Hallo,

in May 2025, "Better Choices for Democracy", a new Condorcet
advocacy group, has launched its website:

<a href="https://www.betterchoices.vote" style="font-family:monospace" target="_blank">https://www.betterchoices.vote</a>

This group consists of people like Nic Tideman, Eric Maskin,
Charles T. Munger Jr. and James Green-Armytage.

They promote a Condorcet method called "Consensus Choice
Voting": If there is a Condorcet winner, that candidate
is the winner of Consensus Choice Voting. Otherwise, the
winner is determined by IRV. See:

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMVLU63Ws9A" style="font-family:monospace" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMVLU63Ws9A</a>

Interestingly, this Condorcet method doesn't even satisfy
independence of clones.

Let's say that candidate A is a Condorcet winner, but
doesn't receive any first preferences. Consensus Choice
Voting then selects candidate A.

Now, let's say that candidate A is replaced by clones A1,A2,A3
and that none of these clones is a Condorcet winner. Then, IRV
kicks in and first eliminates A1, A2 and A3.

Markus Schulze



------------------------------

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