[EM] Interpreting Balinski's MJ words
steve bosworth
stevebosworth at hotmail.com
Tue Jan 3 11:44:52 PST 2017
To EM:
Please check the following [clarifications or corrections written within the square brackets]. Currently I see these suggestions as more clearly expressing B&L’s own intentions in the following two extracts from M. Balinski and R. Laraki (2011) Majority Judgment, MIT. Please explain if you think I have misunderstood these paragraphs:
p.14:
Similar reasoning shows that the majority-grade mechanism is group
strategy-proof-in-grading. A group of voters who share the same beliefs (e.g.
they belong to the same political party) has the same optimal strategy, namely, to
give to the candidates the grades it believes they merit. For if the group believed
that Royal merited better than Good, and all raised the grade they gave her,
her majority-gauge would remain the same (p does not change) [her majority-gauge would probably only be changed insignificantly when thousands are voting (p would probably only be changed insignificantly)]. If all lowered
the grade they gave her, her majority-gauge would decrease (q increases), and
perhaps her majority-grade would be lowered (not their intent). If [instead] the group
believed that Royal merited worse than Good, and all lowered the grade they
gave her, her majority-gauge would remain the same (q does not change) [her majority-gauge would probably only be changed insignificantly when thousands are voting (q would probably only be increased insignificantly)]. If [instead] all
raised the grade they gave her, her majority-gauge would increase (p increases),and perhaps her majority-grade would be raised (not their intent).
p.15:
One means by which it [MJ] resists [manipulation] is easy to explain. Take the example of Bayrou with a Good+ and Royal with a Good− (see table 1.4); their respective
majority-gauges are
Bayrou: (44.3%, Good, 30.6%) Royal: (39.4%, Good, 41.5%).
[Given these two majority-guages] How could a voter who graded Royal higher than Bayrou manipulate? By changing
the grades assigned to try to lower Bayrou’s majority-gauge and to raise
Royal’s majority-gauge. But the majority judgment is partially strategy-proof-in-
ranking: those voters who can [might marginally be able to] lower Bayrou’s majority-gauge cannot [significantly] raise
Royal’s, and those who can [might marginally be able to] raise Royal’s majority-gauge cannot [significantly] lower Bayrou’s.
For suppose a voter can lower Bayrou’s. Then she must have given Bayrou
a Good or better; but having preferred Royal to Bayrou, the voter [she probably] gave a grade
of better than Good to Royal, so she cannot raise Royal’s majority-gauge [significantly] (cannot [significantly]
raise her p). Symmetrically, a [different] voter who can raise [no, lower] Royal’s majority-gauge
must have given her a Good or worse and thus to Bayrou a worse [no, a better] than Good;
so the voter cannot lower [no, raise] Bayrou’s majority-gauge [significantly] (cannot [significantly]increase his q [p]).
Compared with other mechanisms, the majority judgment cuts in half the
possibility of manipulation, however bizarre a voter’s motivations or whatever
her utility function. The majority judgment resists manipulation in still other
ways that other methods do not, but to see how requires information found
in voters’ individual ballots that is not shown in the elections results of table
1.4. For example, significant numbers of voters cannot contribute at all either
to raising Royal’s majority-gauge or to lowering Bayrou’s (28% of those who
graded Royal above Bayrou). Moreover, those who can manipulate have no
incentive to exaggerate very much in any case, for it does not pay to do so (a
more detailed analysis is given in chapter 19).
++++++++++++++++
Note: If you wish to receive a copy of the whole chapter as an attachment, just ask (stevebosworth at hotmail.com).
I look forward to your comments.
Steve
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