[EM] Trying to have CD, protect strong top-set, and protect middle candidates too
Forest Simmons
fsimmons at pcc.edu
Fri Nov 18 15:56:01 PST 2016
Does optional approval cutoff wreck burial protection?
Suppose we have a sincere scenario
40 C>B
35 A>B
25 B>C
and the C faction decides to bury the CWs B. The B faction anticipates
this and responds by truncating C. It is in the interest of the A faction
to leave the default implicit approval cutoff in place. The C faction
doesn't want to give A too much support so they use the explicit cutoff
option:
40 C>>A
35 A>B
25 B
The approval winner is B the CWs.
If they left the implicit cutoff in place it would be worse for them; their
last choice would be elected.
So I think MDDA with optional explicit cutoff is fine with respect to
truncation and burial.
How about the CD?
In this case the sincere profile is
40 C
35 A>B
25 B>A
The B>A faction threatens to defect from the AB coalition.
The A faction responds by using the explicit cutoff:
40 C
35 A>>B
25 B
The approval winner is C, so the threatened defection back-fires.
It seems to me like that is plenty of chicken defection insurance.
The obvious equilibrium position (for the chicken scenario) is
40 C
35 A>>B
25 B>>A
Under MDDA(pt/2) the only uneliminated candidate is A.
But if the B faction defects, all candidates are eliminated, and the
approval winner C is elected.
This is why I like MDDA(pt/2).
An interesting fact is that MDDA(pt/2) is just another formulation of my
version of ICA. They are precisely equivalent. Here's why:
In my version of ICA, X beats Y iff
[X>Y] > [Y>X] + [X=Y=T] + [X=Y=between] , in other words,
[X>Y] > [Y:>=X] - [X=Y=Bottom],
which in turn equals
100% - [X>Y] - [X=Y=Bottom], since 100%= [X>Y] + [Y>=X].
So X beats Y iff
[X>Y] > 100% - [X>Y] - [X=Y=Bottom].
If you add [X.Y] to both sides and divide by 2, you get
[X>Y] +[X=Y=Bottom]/2 > 50%,
precisely the "majority-with- half-power-truncation" rule.
So (my version of) ICA is precisely equivalent to MDDA(pt/2).
I believe it to be completely adequate for defending against burial,
truncation, and Chicken Defection.
Now suppose that p<q<r, and p+q+r=100%, and we have three factions of
respective sizes p, q, and r:, with r + q > 50%.
p: C
q: A>>B
r: B>>A
Then under the pt/2 rule both C and B are eliminated, but not A, so A is
elected.
Suppose that the B factions defects.
Then A is also eliminated, and the approval winner C is elected.
Etc.
So which of the two equivalent formulations is easier to sell? ICA or
MDDA(pt/2) ?
Forest
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