[EM] Practical Democracy
Fred Gohlke
fredgohlke at verizon.net
Mon Feb 1 11:37:09 PST 2016
Good Morning, Kristofer
Thank you for your thoughtful comments.
re: "In a simpler "three people at random choose one among
themselves, rinse and repeat" method, the concentration
effect excludes minority points of view while amplifying
majorities."
This is an excellent point, but it raises the question of whether this
result is good or bad. If the process totally excludes minority points
of view, it would certainly be bad. However, when the majority
incorporates parts of minority views, amplifying them is beneficial, and
we have reason to believe that will occur. It is far more likely that
the process will accommodate minority points of view, even if only a bit
at a time, and will spread them beyond the minority that originally held
them.
The work done on small groups, like that cited in the outline by
Esterling, Fung and Lee in the U.S. and Thamy Pogrebinschi in Brazil,
gives us reason to expect minority views will be accommodated rather
than rejected.
When small groups of people with differing views deliberate they tend to
seek a consensus. I have little doubt that, at the lower levels, there
will be instances where emotional rejection occurs. I have equally
little doubt that, as the levels advance, cooler heads will prevail.
Triads will work through their differences, adopting those parts of
minority views that are rationally shown to be in the common interest.
Changes will not be revolutionary, but they will be persistent,
incremental and pervasive.
re: "That is why Fred added point 1b to the procedure: the
idea is that a group of people with views held by say,
10% in general, could declare to be a group of its own
and run the procedure separately."
Absolutely.
First, it is imperative that minority views get an audience, otherwise
we'd still believe the earth was the center of the universe.
Second, not all those who hold a minority view are good advocates for
their perspective. Non-standard views must be presented with force and
reason. Those who hold the views must be allowed to decide who are the
best advocates of the concept.
Third, the quality of an idea should not be judged by the number of its
adherents. New concepts usually start out very small. If they have
value, over time others adopt them. The important thing is that, even
in its infancy, a new idea must have an opportunity to attract
adherents. Allowing people to declare membership in a faction lets
'birds of a feather flock together'.
re: "The final level (council) would end up having at least
one representative of the group instead of that group
being whittled down into nothingness by participating
directly in the unaffiliated process."
While that may be, I'm inclined to think most of those who reach the
final level will bring with them convictions supporting all or parts of
the minority views.
re: "I'm still a bit wary regarding the concentration of
power, however. Groups that are more like parties
would have a coordination advantage compared to those
that are less like parties, particularly in the later
rounds."
I think this may be true, but the effect is no more deleterious than the
existing system where parties control the candidates. The much more
important consideration - in my view - is that the process gives a
strong voice to non-partisans, who are completely excluded from
party-based systems.
re: "suppose that 20% of the representatives at the next to
last level are aligned with party X and have an implicit
agreement that whenever there are more than one X member
in a triad,"
I don't think we even need imagine an implicit agreement. When two
members of a triad have similar views, the odds favor one of them
advancing to the next level. This will happen, not because of an
agreement, but because partisanship is a natural phenomenon.
re: "... it might end up with council representation exceeding
20% because there aren't enough triads to go around to
evenly distribute the X members. Small towns could also
have a concentration problem like that."
This is a difficult point for me because it seems to assume that X
members are committed to a single, all-encompassing ideology that X will
force on the community. I doubt that will be the case. It is likely
there will be fanatical members of X, but their fanaticism will limit
their ability to advance. Members of X that advance are much more
likely to be individuals with the wit and wisdom to rationally persuade
others that there is value in the X view.
re: "However, finding out whether that is indeed a serious issue
would probably take some simulation."
I absolutely agree, but I am unable to provide a simulation. It is my
sincere hope that the ideas have enough merit to encourage others to
pick up on them and provide the kind of supporting rationale the concept
needs to gain acceptance. Whether that will ever happen is an open
question because the process is truly democratic, so it has no
champions. It offers no rewards for individuals or vested interests; it
gives no individual or group an advantage over others. Hence, it offers
no incentive for power-seeking individuals or groups to advocate its
adoption. Instead, the cultivation of the concept falls to those who
can envision a better future for society.
Fred Gohlke
More information about the Election-Methods
mailing list