[EM] "Top 2+1 Approval" primaries
Peter Gustafsson
miningphd at hotmail.com
Fri Jul 26 16:40:36 PDT 2013
Jameson:
I am not a Quora member, and I am not about to sign up. That said, if you want to use the text and answer it there, do go ahead.
Yours,
Peter Gustafsson
________________________________
> From: jameson.quinn at gmail.com
> Date: Fri, 26 Jul 2013 05:09:58 -0600
> Subject: Re: [EM] "Top 2+1 Approval" primaries
> To: miningphd at hotmail.com
>
> Would you be willing to make this as a comment on Quora? I'm trying to
> get more activity there, since it's a broader forum with more potential
> to pull in new users than the mailing list. If for any reason you'd
> rather not, I'd be happy to answer on the list, but I thought it
> couldn't hurt to ask.
>
> 2013/7/26 Peter Gustafsson
> <miningphd at hotmail.com<mailto:miningphd at hotmail.com>>
> from: jameson.quinn at gmail.com<mailto:jameson.quinn at gmail.com>
> Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 12:54:09 -0600
> To:
> election-methods at lists.electorama.com<mailto:election-methods at lists.electorama.com>;
> electionscience at googlegroups.com<mailto:electionscience at googlegroups.com>
> Subject: [EM] "Top 2+1 Approval" primaries
> Here's a simple proposal for a top-two-like mechanism for primaries,
> copied from an answer of mine on Quora:
> The simplest good solution would be "Top 2+1 approval". That is:
> a primary using approval voting
> the top two advance to the general election, plus the top vote-getter
> outside that party if they're both from the same party
> then a general election using approval voting.
> SNIP
>
> Note that, although this system is built to allow only two parties in
> the general election, that does not mean it would perpetuate two-party
> domination. A leftist district could easily have Democrat(s) and Green
> in the general, and a conservative district could easily have
> Republican(s) and Libertarian. And if the "minor" party actually had
> more support, they would go on to win the seat.
>
> Certainly you could propose complex systems that could be better than
> this proposal in some ways. For instance, you could use a proportional
> representation system such as Bucklin Transferrable Voting (BTV) for
> the first round. But this proposal is a simple balance of the
> requirements: nonpartisan voting, a balance of candidates and parties
> in the general election, yet focused attention on a few strong
> candidates.
> ---- Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for
> list info
> -----------
>
> Jameson:
> Your Quora post was very well put, considerably better than anything
> that I have put together. That said:
>
> In it, you mention Gerrymandering and Duverger pathologies.But what
> will this 2+1 system do to break that? From my cursory glance, it
> appears that if the system would be enacted you would get these kind of
> districts:
> 1. Super-right electorate: no dems in the top-3, general election
> between 2 GOP and one libertarian/constitution party/whatever. GOP wins
> most of those districts.
> 2. 1. Super-left electorate: no GOP in the top-3, general election
> between 2 dem and one Green/workers party/whatever. Dem wins most of
> those districts.
> 3. Competitive district: One GOP, one Dem candidate goes to the general
> election. Voters who prefer left-of-Dem, or right-of-GOP,
> parties/candidates will vote Dem/GOP according to the "least of evils"
> thinking, *even* if that is faulty thinking in this case. Meanwhile,
> voters favoring 3rd party candidates that are politically situated
> between the two big parties will find that their party experiences
> massive center squeeze.
>
> As I see it, this would result in a Congress that has 2 dominant
> parties, plus a smattering of "extremists" on both sides. Those 3rd and
> 4th party representatives would come from areas which are well out of
> the country norm, so it would be easy for the big parties to stick it
> to those places. No pork for you, if you vote small party! The
> "extremists" would have very few tactical options - mostly they would
> be forced to vote with the big party closest to them, lest they
> alienate their voter base.
>
> Then, when districts are up for redrawing, they would be Gerrymandered
> out of existence. If a district is held by a Green, the GOP will know
> that they have no chance of winning it, but they would probably be
> pleased if the Dem took it - lesser of evils thinking, but from the
> other direction. The Dem´s OTOH, would see such a district as a big
> juicy target, since many of its voters have previously voted Dem and
> consider the Dems as 2nd best alternative. A Little bit of border
> redrawing between that district and an adjoining district that is also
> Dem but has less core support for the Greens, and the Dem party has 2
> districts instead of one. Likewise on the other side of the political
> spectrum.
>
> Yours,
>
> Peter Gustafsson
>
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