[EM] Remember Toby
Dave Ketchum
davek at clarityconnect.com
Thu Jun 2 18:34:28 PDT 2011
Here we get led down a path of rejecting methods for being worse than
plurality in some way, without considering whether they may be better
in other important ways.
Agreed that Approval is better - and very little different.
Asset deserves a bit of study - the candidate you vote for can be part
of deciding who gets elected - sorting this out makes it more complex
than plurality for me.
IRV sounds great to many for what it offers voters - vote for more
than one as in Approval, but rank them to indicate which you like best.
What it tells the vote counters sounds good until you look
close: Look only at what each voter ranks highest; if this identifies
a winner - fine; if not, discard the least liked of what was looked at
but failed to win and try again. Usually this will discard losers and
expose a deserving winner. But sometimes what I describe next happens
to one the voters really liked:
50 A
51 B>A
52 C>A
53 D>A
Counting: 50A; 51B; now 51A; now 53D beats 52C.
Condorcet looks much like IRV to the voters. Counters, looking at all
the ballots above say, will see 153A beating 53D.
On Jun 2, 2011, at 3:14 PM, fsimmons at pcc.edu wrote:
> There are only two single winner methods that are uniformly better
> than Plurality, i.e. that are better in
> some ways and worse in none. These two methods make use of
> Plurality style ballots, and those voters
> who want to use Plurality strategy (marking only their preferred of
> the two frontrunners) can do so without
> incurring a worse result than they would get in a Plurality election.
>
> The two methods are Approval and Asset. My remarks in the first
> paragraph explain why neither of
> these methods is in any way worse than Plurality. To see that they
> are in some cases better, consider
> the following points:
>
> In the case of Approval, if many voter s also mark the candidates
> they prefer over their Plurality choice,
> the results will often be improved.
>
> In the Asset voting case, consider that when you trust your Favorite
> candidate’s ranking of the other
> candidates, you can mark you favorite and not worry about Plurality
> strategy. It appears that between
> eighty and ninety percent of the voters would rather have their
> favorite do the ranking. Where do we get
> that figure? We get it from Australia where the vast majority of
> voters just copy their candidate cards
> onto the ballot.
The Aussies are required to rank every candidate - a chore few want to
do for themselves. If voting for as many as in Approval the American
voter should see little pain in ranking these few that they approve of.
>
>
> In summary, we have shown that both of these methods are at least as
> simple and have at least as good
> results as Plurality by treating the ballots as Plurality ballots,
> and that obviously safe and beneficial
> departures from Plurality strategy yield significant improvements in
> both cases. Therefore, these two
> methods are uniformly better than Plurality.
>
> Although there are many other methods that are better than
> Plurality, there are no others that are
> uniformly better, i.e. no other method Pareto dominates Plurality.
>
> When we propose a method to replace Plurality, if that method is
> worse than Plurality in any aspect at
> all, you can be sure that the opponents will focus on that aspect.
A reason for caution BUT it is proper to consider magnitudes of both
gains AND losses.
>
>
> But who can rationally oppose a change to a method that is uniformly
> better than the status quo, except
> by proposing what they think is a better method? But that supposed
> better method can be shot down if
> it is worse than Plurality in any aspect. Take IRV, for example.
> It has more complicated ballots than
> Plurality. And unlike Plurality it fails monotonicity, just to
> mention two aspects. No matter that its clone
> independence and later no harm features may completely compensate in
> the minds of some people; it is
> not uniformly better than Plurality.
>
> Even DYN which is a hybrid that allows Asset voting at one extreme
> and Approval at the other is not
> uniformly better than Plurality, because the ballot is slightly more
> complicated. In every other way it is
> better than Plurality, Asset voting, and Approval. So far I have
> seen no method that is uniformly better
> than DYN, but the trouble is that DYN is not itself uniformly better
> than Plurality because it needs a two-
> bits-per-candidate ballot instead of a one bit per candidate
> ballot. Our voting public may not be ready for
> that much change in the ballot. All of the other proposed methods
> except various three slot methods
> like MCA use more complicated ballots than DYN.
>
> Is DYN too complicated? If so, we are stuck with ordinary Approval
> or ordinary Asset Voting. They are
> the only choices simpler than DYN that dominate Plurality.
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