[EM] HBH
Toby Pereira
tdp201b at yahoo.co.uk
Wed Jul 20 16:43:57 PDT 2011
I was thinking - Schulze STV compares every result against every other result
that differs by just one candidate, which could be a lot of work for a computer!
So could your HBH system be used for STV elections? Determine the order of
comparison and compare two results that differ by one candidate and the "losing
candidate" is eliminated. So each pairwise comparison eliminates a candidate and
it's all done much more quickly.
________________________________
From: "fsimmons at pcc.edu" <fsimmons at pcc.edu>
To: fsimmons at pcc.edu
Cc: election-methods at lists.electorama.com
Sent: Mon, 18 July, 2011 19:25:01
Subject: [EM] HBH
HBH stands for Hog Belly Honey, the name of an inerrant "nullifier" invented by
a couple of R.A. Lafferty
characters. The HBH is the only known nullifier that can "posit moral and
ethical judgments, set up and
enforce categories, discern and make full philosophical pronouncements," in
other words eliminate the
garbage and keep what's valuable. The main character, the "flat footed genius,"
Joe Spade, picks the
name "Hog Belly Honey," for it "on account it's so sweet."
The whole idea of HBH is just starting at the bottom of a pecking order and
pitting (for elimination) the
current champ against the most distant challenger. I hope you will keep that in
mind as we introduce
the necessary technical details.
HBH is based on range style ballots that allow the voters to rate each
alternative on a range of zero to
some maximum value M. [Keep this M in mind; we will make explicit use of it
presently.]
Once the ballots are voted and submitted, the first order of business is to set
up a "pecking order" for
the purpose of resolving ties, etc. Alternative X is higher in the pecking
order than alternative Y if
alternative X is rated above zero on more ballots than Y is rated above zero.
If both have the same
number of positive ratings, then the alternative with the most ratings greater
than one is higher in the
pecking order. If that doesn't resolve the tie, then the alternative with the
greatest number of ratings
above two is higher, etc.
In the practically impossible case that two alternatives have exactly the same
number of ratings at each
level, ties should be broken randomly.
The next order of business is to establish a proximity relation between
alternatives. For our purposes
closeness or proximity between two alternatives X and Y is given by the number
Sum over all ballots b, min( M*(M-1), b(X)*b(Y) ).
[The minimization with M*(M-1) clinches the method's resistance to compromise,
as explained below.]
This proximity value is a useful measure of a certain kind of closeness of the
two alternatives: the larger
the proximity number the closer the alternatives in this limited sense, while
the smaller the number the
more distant the alternatives from each other (again, in this limited sense).
For the purposes of this method, if two alternatives Y and Z have equal
proximity to X, then the one that
is higher in the pecking order is considered to be closer than the other. In
other words, the pecking
order is used to break proximity ties.
Next we compute the majority pairwise victories among the alternatives.
Alternative X beats alternative
Y majority-pairwise if X is rated above Y on more than half of the ballots.
For the purposes of this method, the "victor" of a pair of alternatives is the
one that beats the other
majority pairwise, or in the case where neither beats the other
majority-pairwise it is the one that is
higher in the pecking order. Of the two, the non-victor alternative is called
the "loser." In other words,
the pecking order decides pairwise victors and losers when there is no majority
defeat. [This convention
on victor and loser is what makes the method plurality compliant, as explained
below.]
Next we initialize an alphanumeric variable V with the name of the lowest
alternative in the pecking
order, and execute the following loop:
While there remain two or more discarded alternatives
discard the loser between V and the alternative most distant from V,
and replace V with the name of the victor of the two.
EndWhile
Finally, elect the alternative represented by the final value of V.
This HBH method is clone free, monotone, Plurality compliant, compromise
resistant, and burial
resistant.
Furthermore, it is obviously the case that if some alternative beats each of the
other alternatives majority
pairwise, then that alternative will be elected.
Let's see why the method is plurality compliant:
If there is even one majority defeat in the sequence of eliminations, every
value of V after that will be the
name of an alternative that is rated positively on more than half of the
ballots. If none of the victories are
by majority defeat, then the winner is the alternative highest on the pecking
order, i.e. the one with the
greatest number of positive ratings.
Let's see why the method is monotone:
Suppose that the winner is moved up in the ratings. Then its defeat strengths
will only be increased, and
any proximity change can only delay its introduction into the fray, so it will
only face alternatives that
lost to it before.
Let's see why it is compromise resistant:
Since Favorite and Compromise are apt to be in relatively close proximity, and
pairwise contests are
always between distant alternatives, if Compromise gets eliminated, it will
almost certainly be by
someone besides Favorite, so there can hardly be any incentive for rating
Favorite below Compromise.
Furthermore, there is no likely advantage of rating Compromise equal to
Favorite, because rating
compromise just below Favorite already makes the maximum possible contribution
M*(M-1) to their
proximity sum, i.e. the best you can do to make sure they are pitted against
each other only after all of
the other alternaties have been eliminated (if at all).
How about burial?
I don't have such an easy argument for burial resistance, but the experiments I
have conducted show
that more likely than not it won't pay off. I hope that Kevin will run his
simulations on the method for
(hopefully) more support on that account.
I realize that the method sounds complicated from the description above, but all
of the complication is
from the details of tie breaking, including what to do when defeats are not
majority-pairwise.
Other than that, as mentioned at the beginning, it is just starting at the
bottom of the pecking order and
pitting (for elimination) the current champ against the most distant challenger.
Aint that sweet?
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