[EM] First Condorcet cycle ever spotted in a national presidential election (!?! apparently)

Kristofer Munsterhjelm km-elmet at broadpark.no
Sun Dec 6 23:37:36 PST 2009


Warren Smith wrote:
> Hello.
> 
> It appears the Romanian 2009 presidential election, which just (allegedly) ended
> with Basescu winning re-election, involved two different Condorcet
> top-cycles involving
> 4 candidates.
> The winner Basescu (elected via plurality+top2runoff) unfortunately
> probably was the worst choice among the four (based on both pairwise
> table based on numerous pairwise polls and the official results; and
> also on an approval-style poll; I am unaware of any range-voting-style
> poll).
> Runoff-style voting (and plurality voting too -- Basescu won the 1st
> round) both severely distorted democracy in this election and also
> both elected probably the worst winner among the 4.

Do you have the Condorcet matrices for those polls? It would be 
interesting to see what the good Condorcet methods (RP, River, Schulze, 
etc) say - who they pick as the winner, assuming the polls are accurate.



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