[EM] Approval Equilibrium
Forest W Simmons
fsimmons at pcc.edu
Tue Jun 12 14:56:19 PDT 2007
What is an approval equilibrium?
Is it possible to deduce an approval equilibrium from sincere rankings
or ratings?
These questions are amazingly slippery!
I won't attempt to survey the many answers that have been proposed, but
I would like to share a line of thought that came to me after pondering
Lomax' recent post on majority ratification.
He wrote about trying to simulate or predict (from sincere range
ballots) what the outcome of an interactive process would be. Small
groups have the luxury of the interactive process, but it becomes
expensive for large groups.
Suppose that we had a small group that repeated approval counts until
they reached some kind of equilibrium, i.e. until they stabilized. Is
there some way to use sincere range ballots to predict what this
equilibrium might be?
Of course not with 100 percent accuracy, because some voters are more
stubborn than others, etc.
But is there a reasonable way to predict an equilibrium?
Suppose that candidate X is the equilibrium winner, and that candidate
Y is ranked above X by 37 voters. Then Y we would expect that when the
approval votes stabilize with X winning, that Y would have an approval
of about 37, since there is no point in approving anybody you like less
than the first place candidate X.
For now let's don't worry about some of the voters rating X and Y
exactly equal.
Continuing onward ...
If X is the approval winner, then X must have approval greater than Y,
so X has approval greater than 37.
Similarly, if Z is ranked above X by 53 of the voters, then X must have
more than 53 approval votes to be the approval equilibrium.
Now suppose that this number 53 is the greatest pairwise opposition of
any candidate against X. Then an approval of 54 for X would be
sufficient to make X an approval equilibrium winner.
So each for each candidate X, if X can consistently get approval
greater than his greatest pairwise opposition, then X will be an
approval equilibrium candidate.
So the question becomes, "For which candidate X is it least difficult
to get the approval at the required level?"
I have some possible answers, but I would like to hear yours before I
prejudice your minds towards mine.
Forest
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