[Election-Methods] Smith exposes our false statements
Chris Benham
chrisjbenham at optusnet.com.au
Thu Jul 26 11:22:55 PDT 2007
Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:
>At 04:36 AM 7/26/2007, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
>>So I repeat that, in public elections, Schudy's statement was
>>correct, when he said that it is never optimal to rate someone other
>>than top or bottom.
>>
>>
>
>I have currently posted a counterexample. Perhaps Ossipoff addresses
>it later, but prior to the present post he has not.
>
>The example: many voters, large enough that a three-way tie is of
>negligible effect on utilities.
>
>Three candidates. Range 2 (CR-3).
>
>Voter with utilities of 2, 1, 0.
>
>Zero knowledge, so all vote patterns from the electorate minus our
>voter are equally possible.
>
>Expected utility of Approval Votes of 220 or 200: 39/27 (improvement
>over not voting: 12/27).
>
>Expected utility of Sincere Vote, 210: 40/27, improvement over not
>voting: 13/27.
>
>Improvement over Approval by voting Sincerely: 1/27.
>
>Take a look. If there is an error in the calculation, I'd like to
>know.
>
What "calculation"? Look at what? With "many voters" your "improvement
over not voting"
figures look too high.
>Please, if you can, find the error in the proof; sufficient
>information has been given as to how to do it, and my spreadsheet has
>been posted, but you'll need Excel or some spreadsheet program that
>can read Excel files.
>
Right. "Posted" where?
Chris Benham
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