[Election-Methods] RE : Corrected "strategy inCondorcet" section
Juho
juho4880 at yahoo.co.uk
Fri Aug 17 13:55:30 PDT 2007
July 29th I drafted also one example that was intended to be more
realistic than the 1000 1000 1 scenario.
Juho
--excerpt---
Here's another version of the example - longer, but now the numbers
could be from real life. There seems to be a consensus (within both
of the two parties, "AB" and "CD") that A is better than B and C is
better than D. Some voters (32%) truncate the candidates of the other
party but all rank their own candidates. One additional vote (e.g.
B>D) can lift B and/or D to the same level with A and C. The point is
that this threat exists also when votes are more balanced than in the
first (extreme but easy to catch) scenario. This may quite well
happen in real life elections.
10 A>B
12 A>B>C
9 A>B>D
6 B>A
8 B>A>C
5 B>A>D
10 C>D
12 C>D>A
9 C>D>B
6 D>C
8 D>C>A
5 D>C>B
--end of excerpt---
On Aug 17, 2007, at 19:41 , Dave Ketchum wrote:
> Paul's words are tempting, for this exchange has little to do with
> desirability of Condorcet, or of margins vs WV.
>
> Looking closer, the votes are:
> 1000 A>B>C=D
> 1000 C>D>A=B
> 1 D>B>A=C
>
> 2000 voters rate A vs C as a tie, only agreed that B and D should
> lose.
>
> The one vote agrees to the A vs C tie, but mostly muddies the water.
>
> So, a not believable election tally gets debated for weeks. True
> that margins vs WV is an important topic, but each can offer
> believable examples in their favor - serious thought would be based
> on more believable examples than debated here.
>
> DWK
>
> On Tue, 14 Aug 2007 17:25:57 -0500 Paul Kislanko wrote:
>> This is enough to convince me that approval is an appropriate method.
>> ---------------------------------------------------------------------
>> ---
>> From: election-methods-bounces at lists.electorama.com
>> [mailto:election-methods-bounces at lists.electorama.com] On Behalf
>> Of Chris Benham
>> Sent: Tuesday, August 14, 2007 5:11 PM
>> To: Juho
>> Cc: Forest W Simmons; Election Methods Mailing List
>> Subject: Re: [Election-Methods] RE : Corrected "strategy
>> inCondorcet" section
>> Juho wrote:
>>> On Aug 2, 2007, at 6:44 , Kevin Venzke wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>> 1000 A>B, 1000 C>D, 1 D>B
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>> Yes, I do think D is the proper winner.
>>>
>>> Do you have a verbal (natural language) explanation why D is
>>> better than A and C. This scenario could be an election in a
>>> school. One class has voted A>B (A and B are pupils of that
>>> class), another class has voted C>D, the teacher has voted D>B.
>>> What should the teacher tell the C>D voting class when they ask
>>> "didn't you count our votes"? Maybe this is clear to you.
>>> Unfortunately not as clear to me. The teacher vote seemed to be
>>> heavier than the pupils votes :-).
>>>
>> I agree with Kevin that D is the proper winner, but Winning Votes
>> isn't my favourite algorithm.
>> If we are sticking with Condorcet "immune" methods and so are
>> only focussing on how to compare
>> (measure) defeat strengths, then I like Approval Margins (Ranking)
>> if we are using plain ranking ballots.
>> So interpreting ranking (above bottom or equal-bottom) as
>> approval, we get these approval scores:
>> D1001, B1001, A1000, C1000
>> All the candidates have at least one pairwise defeat, and by AM
>> the weakest is D's single defeat, C>D
>> by an AM of -1.
>> I also like Approval-Sorted Margins(Ranking), which is probably
>> equivalent to AM.
>> The initial approval order is D=B>A=C. The smallest approval
>> gaps (zero) are between D and B, and A
>> and C. A pairwise ties with C but D pairwise beats B, so our
>> first modification of the order is D>B>A=C.
>> A pairwise beats B, so the second modification is D>A>B=C. B
>> pairwise beats C, so the third modified
>> order is D>A>B>C. This order accords with the pairwise
>> comparisons so is the final order and D wins.
>> I also like eliminating (and dropping from the ballots) the
>> candidate lowest in this order and then repeating
>> the whole process until one remains. In this case that would give
>> the same winner, with the elimination order
>> just being the reverse of the ASM(R) order.
>> The only candidate with any sort of claim versus D is C, and C is
>> pairwise beaten by a more approved
>> candidate (B) so C is outside the "Definite Majority (Ranking)" set.
>> Chris Benham
> --
> davek at clarityconnect.com people.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
> Dave Ketchum 108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY 13827-1708 607-687-5026
> Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
> If you want peace, work for justice.
>
>
>
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