[EM] Hamilton beats Hll in the example. Hill shows the most bias of the 3 methods.
Dan Bishop
dbishop at aggienetwork.com
Sun Dec 17 19:18:03 PST 2006
MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote:
>
> After testing Hill and Bias-Free in the 10-state example, it occurred to
> me to also test Hamilton. Hamilton's allocation was about 2.8 times less
> biased than that of Hill. Bias-Free had tested more than 3 times less
> biased than Hill.
>
> I'd said that Bias-Free and Hamilton are the completely unbiased
> methods. The probability that, by chance, Hill would finish last, just
> as I'd predicted, is of course only 1/3.
>
> Though both are unbiased, one would expect Hamilton to probably do not
> quite as well as Bias-Free, due to Hamilton's randomness. The
> probability that, by chance, those 3 methods would finish in the
> predicted order is only 1/6.
>
> Surely Balinski & Young must have done apportionments for all the
> historical censuses, by Hamilton, Webster and Hill, and compared those
> allocations for bias. Has anyone done such comparisons?
http://www.brook.edu/comm/policybriefs/pb88.htm
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