[EM] Arrow and CR

Joe Weinstein jweins123 at hotmail.com
Thu Oct 17 18:50:39 PDT 2002


Alex, I think you have it right.  (In my experience, the only way to be sure 
of 'not missing something' is to write out everything, including full 
definitions, in one place, not partly in a message and partly on a web page 
or textbook.)

Yes, CR can violate the conclusion of Arrow's theorem because CR's inputs 
violate one or more premises of the theorem.  Put positively, CR inputs 
incorporate info of value to voters which Arrow's hypotheses disregard, 
namely: not only the EXISTENCE of pairwise preferences  (i.e., A v. B 
evaluated as one of the three values +, 0, -) but moreover the quantitative 
(potentially real-valued) STRENGTHS (i.e., importances to the voter) of 
those preferences.

The only weighty objection raised to CR seems to be that CR is 
'strategically' equivalent to Approval, so that a CR ballot is, allegedly, 
needlessly complex.

Well, the same issues vis-a-vis Approval (arguably the simplest rational EM) 
exist for other methods too.

The problem of describing and then correcting for 'strategy' exists for all 
methods - and is rather grosteque for non-monotonic methods.  If you choose 
to let it be so, strategy can be an endless source of worry, not least 
because of the infinite variety possible in the degrees of info completeness 
or lack thereof - as you consider various possible elections, and within 
each election the various factions.

Note that in a usual human mass election, prospects will anyhow be de facto 
next to nil that your vote will make any instrumental difference.  So, at 
least with a monotonic method like CR - including Approval as the simplest 
case - you can do rather well by voting reasonably 'close' to 'sincerely':  
you thereby at least have the satisfaction of your vote expressing something 
like your actual sentiments.

Joe Weinstein



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