[EM] Elections Results theory

Narins, Josh josh.narins at lehman.com
Mon Dec 30 10:08:07 PST 2002


Completely untestable, I suspect, and a possibly dangerous theory.

Hypothetically (and really) a Deliberative Assembly exists within a two
party system, where the members form two evenly split camps, but whose
actual positions can be mapped to a one-dimensional space continuum.

Hypothetically, the two parties are vaguely normally distributed across the
spectrum (a center and two wings, so to speak).

The rational choice for _leader_ of each wing would be one position to the
right of the mode of a reasonably distributed group.

Kinda like the crest of a wave.

I guess I go to http://voteview.uh.edu <http://voteview.uh.edu>  too much,
and make too much of all the images.

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