[EM] Real Election Percentages

DEMOREP1 at aol.com DEMOREP1 at aol.com
Sat Mar 18 15:24:03 PST 2000


Have any estimates been done with a relatively large number of tests to get 
some rough idea of percentage distributions for 2 or more choices in REAL 
public elections ?

Namely, what is the rough winning percentage with 2 choices ?

Circa 55-58 percent ???

What happens with the first choice percentages with 3 or more choices ?

Circa 41, 35, 24 ???

With 4 or more ?

The real numbers are, of course, skewed versus random numbers.

Technically, the skewed numbers should not affect which method is being used 
but reality may say otherwise.



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