3 Candidate Condorcet Simulations E 4 results

DEMOREP1 at aol.com DEMOREP1 at aol.com
Thu Nov 28 18:40:47 PST 1996

Mr. Eppley wrote:
If it doesn't take much time, how about doing these 3-candidate random
4. Every voter ranks all 3 candidates.  Some rank two candidates as equal
first choices, some rank two as equal second choices, and the rest have no
equal rankings.  (There are 12 possible orderings.)
D- did 40 simulations. Results-
37 Condorcet winners (in 1 case, there was a tie vote for the third pairing),
3 circular ties
Average winning percent of all winners- 57.4 (range 50.1 to 74.4)
24.0 percent of the voters voted a A>B=C type vote (range 3.7 to 48.0 percent
of all voters)
25.3 percent of the voters voted a A=B>C type vote (range 6.5 to 40.5 percent
of all voters)
50.7 percent of the voters voted a ABC type vote (range 37.0 to 72.4 percent)

Again, such 24.0, 25.3 and 50.7 split is highly suspect in a real election.

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