[EM] Student government - what voting system to recommend?
Howard Swerdfeger
electorama.com at howard.swerdfeger.com
Wed Apr 25 10:23:25 PDT 2007
Chris Benham wrote:
>
>
> Howard Swerdfeger wrote:
>
>> Tim Hull wrote:
>>
>>
>>> Condorcet, on the other hand, does not suffer
>>> from the center squeeze. However, it suffers from the opposite
>>> problem -
>>> the so-called "Pro Wrestler" or "Loony" syndrome in an election with a
>>> couple polarized candidates and a weak centrist or joke candidate.
>>> In my
>>> student government elections, I picture this being a candidate walking
>>> around campus in a clown suit and winning based on becoming
>>> everybody's #2.
>>> Also, Condorcet's later-no-harm failure may mean people give a less
>>> sincere
>>> ranking than in IRV, though this failure is far less so than in range.
>>>
>>
>> This is a potential problem with all pure Condorcet methods.
>> It might be able to be overcome with some restrictions
>> Candidate must have >5% first preference votes or be one of the top 5
>> candidates in number of first preference votes.
>> Or some other restriction might help.
>>
>>
>
> I can see why this is a marketing/propaganda problem, but not why it is
> a *real* problem.
> One reason why not is that Condorcet gives serious candidates incentive
> to contest the centre so if the
> election is serious then at least one serious centrist will run and one
> will win. If the election isn't serious then
> why is "polarised candidate" necessarily a better winner than a weak
> centrist or even a "joke candidate"?
I have no argument for why additional popular Centralist candidates
would not run. Indeed would suspect this is probable in many real world
situations.
Allow me for a moment to escape in to a magic world of Ideal situations:
The fundamental problem is that any strict ranking method takes the nD
Issue space on which we imagine voters base decisions and translates
them into a 1D preference, In this there is loss of information.
Imagine 2D political spectrum.
Imagine a divided society, where almost every voter exists at one of 2
points (1,1) and (-1, 1)
now imagine 3 candidates one at (1,1) A, one at (-1, 1) B and one at
(0,0) C.
voters Near candidate A would vote
A>C>B
and voters near candidate B would vote
B>C>A
it is likely given a some some random alignment of other small portion
of the population that C could win.
Is this Good for society?
Arguments against would be :
* The vast majority of the population on the second axis is at or near
1. Yet we just elected the candidate that is furthest from this position.
* very few people in the population actually support Position 0 on the
X axis, yet that is the candidate elected.
Arguments For it would be...
Well there are quite a few, and I am sure you can come up with them on
your own.
>> While I agree party lists are "rotten".
>>
>> there are lots of other multi winner PR systems, that don't require a
>> party list
>> MMP where the "top-up" comes from the best of the losers.
>>
>
> How exactly does this version of MMP work?
See Tims reply.
That is essentially what it.
But there would be variations on what you could do with that also.
>
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
>
>
>
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