[EM] Why IRV is popular
Alex Small
alex_small2002 at yahoo.com
Sat Mar 12 15:00:36 PST 2005
I mostly agree with Russ.
Another reason why IRV is popular is that it's basically an expanded and automated version of an election method already used for many local elections in the US, as well as elections to some higher offices in at least 2 states (Nebraska and Louisiana): 2-step runoff. People are familiar with 2 step runoff, and it makes intuitive sense. Yes, I know, the majority generated by runoffs isn't as legitimate as being the Condorcet Winner, but at first glance it sounds good.
If cycles were impossible then I think Condorcet would have a real shot at public acceptance. But since cycles are always a possibility, we have to include them in the discussion.
On the other hand, I don't follow sports at all but a friend was telling me that in some tournaments the teams will start off in groups of 3, and will play 3 games among themselves. The undefeated team in each group will advance, and if there's no undefeated team in the group then they'll do something with the margins of victory to figure out who advances. That sounds awfully similar to some Condorcet methods.
Does anybody know anything about these methods and whether sports fans find them too confusing?
Alex
Russ Paielli wrote:
Date: Sat, 12 Mar 2005 12:35:22 -0800
From: Russ Paielli <6049awj02 at sneakemail.com>
Subject: [EM] Why IRV is popular
To: election-methods at electorama.com
Message-ID: <4233528A.7080509 at sneakemail.com>
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Eric Gorr recently posted a link to a one-page document by Jim Lindsay
explaining why he and many political activists prefer IRV to Condorcet,
Approval, and other methods.
One of Jim's "criteria" was "system easily explained." Surprisingly, he
put "somewhat" for both IRV and Condorcet.
IRV is much easier to explain than Condorcet, and I believe that is the
primary reason that it is more popular.
An IRV promoter simply explains that the voter ranks the candidates, and
the first choices are counted. So far the counting procedure it is
identical to our current plurality system. Then the promoter explains
that if nobody gets a majority, the candidate with the least votes is
eliminated, and any voter who had that candidate at the top of his list
has his next choice bumped up to the top. The counting is then repeated,
again as if it were a plurality election. The process repeats until some
candidate gets a majority.
My point is that the counting procedure is very similar to our current
system. The only twist is the elimination of candidates and transfer of
votes, which most people can grasp fairly quickly.
The fact that IRV is non-monotonic and non-summable never even occurs to
perhaps 99% of those who hear about it, and the activists who know about
these deficiencies don't consider them important. IRV is popular because
its rules are simple and the basic counting procedure at each round is
identical to plurality.
The same cannot be said for Condorcet, particularly when it involves
dropping of defeats. Just explaining the pairwise races and matrix is
already more complicated than IRV. Then when you start talking about
dropping defeats, people start wondering what sort of crackpot scheme it
is. By the time you get into the actual *rules* for dropping defeats,
the game is over. Get into "margins" vs. "winning votes" and the poor
listener wishes he were late for a root canal.
"Traditional" Condorcet with dropping of defeats may be appropriate for
organizations of people with a special common interest, but it will
never be accceptable for highly contentious public elections. The Bird
Watchers of America may be willing to agree to use defeat-dropping
Condorcet, but a large public jurisdiction never will. And think about
what would happen if they did: the losing side would immediately become
biased against the method. It's just too complicated and too arbitrary.
The general public expects the rules of a public voting system to be
simple and easily understood. The public acceptability of a method goes
down by perhaps nearly an order of magnitude for each additional
sentence required to explain it. That's what I think, anyway.
--Russ
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