Theoretical Minority Rule, U.S. Pres. election, V.1

DEMOREP1 at aol.com DEMOREP1 at aol.com
Wed Nov 13 15:31:00 PST 1996


See cumulative math under the raw math.
A= Area, B= 1996 Total Votes for President (other votes are incomplete in
most areas), C= Electoral Votes, D= TVP/EV (low to high)

A      B       C       D
DC 177,823 3 59,274
AK 195,378 3 65,126
WY 211,598 3 70,533
VT 257,855 3 85,952
ND 265,596 3 88,532
HI 358,313 4 89,578
DE 270,478 3 90,159
RI 366,982 4 91,746
OR 698,469 7 99,781
NM 510,484 5 102,097
SD 323,751 3 107,917
NV 463,018 4 115,754
ID 491,457 4 122,864
NH 495,140 4 123,785
MS 878,752 7 125,536
WV 630,355 5 126,071
UT 660,691 5 132,138
NE 669,274 5 133,855
MT 405,243 3 135,081
SC 1,131,558 8 141,445
AR 870,810 6 145,135
ME 601,515 4 150,379
OK 1,206,705 8 150,838
WA 1,773,030 11 161,185
AZ 1,305,850 8 163,231
CA 9,020,200 54 167,041
MD 1,704,350 10 170,435
CT 1,364,434 8 170,554
TN 1,887,285 11 171,571
AL 1,548,242 9 172,027
KY 1,384,711 8 173,089
TX 5,599,763 32 174,993
IA 1,225,243 7 175,035
IN 2,104,489 12 175,374 (TMRP)
GA 2,289,917 13 176,147
KS 1,064,864 6 177,477
NC 2,490,832 14 177,917
NY 5,974,936 33 181,059
VA 2,377,671 13 182,898
CO 1,506,654 8 188,332
IL 4,257,217 22 193,510
PA 4,486,891 23 195,082
MO 2,157,609 11 196,146
LA 1,782,704 9 198,078
WI 2,195,457 11 199,587
NJ 2,997,952 15 199,863
MI 3,739,854 18 207,770
FL 5,267,256 25 210,690
OH 4,434,229 21 211,154
MA 2,539,439 12 211,620
MN 2,142,312 10 214,231
----
A= Area, E= Cumulative Electoral Votes, F= Cumulative Votes for President
divided by 2, G= F as percent of Grand Total of Votes for President
A   E    F         G
DC 3 88,912 0.10
AK 6 186,600 0.20
WY 9 292,400 0.32
VT 12 421,327 0.45
ND 15 554,125 0.60
HI 19 733,282 0.79
DE 22 868,520 0.94
RI 26 1,052,012 1.13
OR 33 1,401,246 1.51
NM 38 1,656,488 1.79
SD 41 1,818,364 1.96
NV 45 2,049,872 2.21
ID 49 2,295,601 2.47
NH 53 2,543,171 2.74
MS 60 2,982,547 3.22
WV 65 3,297,724 3.55
UT 70 3,628,070 3.91
NE 75 3,962,707 4.27
MT 78 4,165,328 4.49
SC 86 4,731,108 5.10
AR 92 5,166,512 5.57
ME 96 5,467,270 5.89
OK 104 6,070,622 6.54
WA 115 6,957,138 7.50
AZ 123 7,610,062 8.20
CA 177 12,120,162 13.07
MD 187 12,972,338 13.98
CT 195 13,654,554 14.72
TN 206 14,598,197 15.74
AL 215 15,372,318 16.57
KY 223 16,064,674 17.32
TX 255 18,864,555 20.34
IA 262 19,477,176 21.00
IN 274 20,529,421 22.13 TMRP
GA 287 21,674,380 23.36
KS 293 22,206,812 23.94
NC 307 23,452,228 25.28
NY 340 26,439,696 28.50
VA 353 27,628,531 29.78
CO 361 28,381,858 30.60
IL 383 30,510,466 32.89
PA 406 32,753,912 35.31
MO 417 33,832,716 36.47
LA 426 34,724,068 37.43
WI 437 35,821,797 38.62
NJ 452 37,320,773 40.23
MI 470 39,190,700 42.25
FL 495 41,824,328 45.09
OH 516 44,041,442 47.48
MA 528 45,311,162 48.85
MN 538 46,382,318 50.00

Thus, with only 2 candidates a 22.13 theoretical minority rule percent (TMRP)
of the popular vote would get 274 of 538 electoral votes using the 1996 data.
At least it is fortunate that 2 large States (CA and TX) are above the TMRP
level. The general bias towards the small States is of course due to each
State having 2 Senators (and 2 electoral votes) regardless of its number of
voters for President. Thus, a minority of the grand total who live in the
small states can control the election of President.




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